The School of Odds

Miami Heat v Toronto Raptors

2026-07-17 01:00 UTC — NBA Summer League

Head to Head

6 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Miami Heat (Local)

Prediction 43.69%2.29fair odd
EV -2.13%
Edge -0.950%
Kelly -1.72%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.24

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.86%43.49%43.69%43.80%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.132.182.182.2447%46%46%45%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Toronto Raptors (Visit)

Prediction 56.31%1.78fair odd
EV -3.72%
Edge -2.17%
Kelly -5.23%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.71

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
56.20%56.51%56.31%57.14%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.661.681.691.7160%59%59%58%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (6 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
DraftKings2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -2.13%E -0.950%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -5.40%E -3.22%K -7.95%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-15 04:59
Fanatics2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.87%E -1.76%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.72%E -2.17%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-15 04:29
FanDuel2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -4.75%E -2.18%K -4.02%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -4.84%E -2.86%K -7.02%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-15 04:29
SportsBet2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -4.75%E -2.18%K -4.02%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -4.84%E -2.86%K -7.02%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-15 04:30
theScore Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.06%E -2.82%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.97%E -3.57%K -8.91%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-15 04:29
ReBet2.13I 46.95%NM 43.80%EV -6.93%E -3.26%K -6.14%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.20%EV -6.53%E -3.93%K -9.90%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-15 04:30
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.