The School of Odds

Memphis Grizzlies v Houston Rockets

2026-07-18 22:30 UTC — NBA Summer League

Head to Head

2 sportsbooks (1 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Memphis Grizzlies (Local)

Prediction 60.35%1.66fair odd
EV -4.04%
Edge -2.54%
Kelly -6.86%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.59

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
60.35%60.35%60.35%65.07%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.461.521.521.5968%66%66%63%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Houston Rockets (Visit)

Prediction 39.65%2.52fair odd
EV +7.85%
Edge +2.89%
Kelly +4.56%
Growth +0.358%

assuming max odds 2.72

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.93%39.65%39.65%39.65%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.422.572.572.7241%39%39%37%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (2 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
SportsBet1.46I 68.49%NM 65.07%EV -11.89%E -8.14%K -25.85%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.93%EV +7.85%E +2.89%K +4.56%G +0.358%5.3%2026-07-17 05:29
DraftKings1.59I 62.89%NM 60.35%EV -4.04%E -2.54%K -6.86%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.65%EV -4.04%E -1.67%K -2.85%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-17 04:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Arbitrage (1 combination) +0.34%DraftKings 1.59 (63.1%) / SportsBet 2.72 (36.9%)Show details
Memphis Grizzlies (Local)Houston Rockets (Visit)Margin
DraftKings 1.59 (63.1%)SportsBet 2.72 (36.9%)+0.343%