The School of Odds

Memphis Grizzlies v Golden State Warriors

2026-07-20 01:00 UTC — NBA Summer League

Head to Head

20 sportsbooks (10 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Memphis Grizzlies (Local)

Prediction 60.02%1.67fair odd
EV +0.840%
Edge +0.500%
Kelly +1.23%
Growth +0.010%

assuming max odds 1.68

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
57.14%59.91%60.02%62.13%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.531.591.591.6865%63%63%60%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Golden State Warriors (Visit)

Prediction 39.98%2.50fair odd
EV +0.341%
Edge +0.136%
Kelly +0.226%
Growth +0.001%

assuming max odds 2.51

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.87%40.09%39.98%42.86%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.242.382.352.5145%42%42%40%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (20 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
DraftKings1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV +0.840%E +0.500%K +1.23%G +0.010%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -10.45%E -4.67%K -8.43%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-19 02:35
SportsBet1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -2.16%E -1.33%K -3.43%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -8.05%E -3.50%K -6.20%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-19 02:45
Fanatics1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -2.76%E -1.70%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -4.06%E -1.69%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-19 14:35
FanDuel1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -2.76%E -1.70%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -8.05%E -3.50%K -6.20%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-19 02:45
Neds1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.96%E -2.48%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.06%E -2.58%K -4.49%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-19 13:59
Ladbrokes (AU)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.96%E -2.48%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.06%E -2.58%K -4.49%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-19 13:59
BetOnline.ag1.59I 62.89%NM 61.03%EV -4.56%E -2.87%K -7.73%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.97%EV -0.459%E -0.184%K -0.308%G +0.000%3.1%2026-07-19 14:35
LowVig.ag1.59I 62.89%NM 61.03%EV -4.56%E -2.87%K -7.73%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.97%EV -0.459%E -0.184%K -0.308%G +0.000%3.1%2026-07-19 14:35
BetUS1.59I 62.89%NM 60.74%EV -4.56%E -2.87%K -7.73%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.26%EV -1.66%E -0.674%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.5%2026-07-19 14:35
Caesars1.59I 62.89%NM 60.45%EV -4.56%E -2.87%K -7.73%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.55%EV -2.86%E -1.18%K -2.00%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-19 13:47
BetMGM1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.56%E -2.87%K -7.73%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.06%E -1.69%K -2.90%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-19 13:59
Hard Rock Bet1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.56%E -2.87%K -7.73%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.06%E -1.69%K -2.90%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-19 14:35
ReBet1.58I 63.29%NM 59.69%EV -5.16%E -3.27%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.31%EV -6.46%E -2.76%K -4.82%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-19 14:35
Bovada1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -5.76%E -3.67%K -10.11%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -0.059%E -0.024%K -0.039%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-19 14:10
MyBookie.ag1.57I 63.69%NM 59.64%EV -5.76%E -3.67%K -10.11%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.36%EV -7.25%E -3.13%K -5.50%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-19 14:40
theScore Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -5.76%E -3.67%K -10.11%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -8.05%E -3.50%K -6.20%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-19 13:55
BetRivers1.56I 64.10%NM 59.90%EV -6.36%E -4.08%K -11.36%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.10%EV -6.85%E -2.94%K -5.15%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-19 14:34
Marathon Bet1.54I 64.94%NM 60.51%EV -7.56%E -4.91%K -14.01%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 39.49%EV -5.66%E -2.40%K -4.16%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-19 13:50
Betr (AU)1.54I 64.94%NM 60.41%EV -7.56%E -4.91%K -14.01%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -6.06%E -2.58%K -4.49%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-19 14:35
Pinnacle1.53I 65.36%NM 62.13%EV -8.16%E -5.34%K -15.40%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 37.87%EV +0.341%E +0.136%K +0.226%G +0.001%5.2%2026-07-19 14:35
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
ProphetX1.56I 64.10%NM 62.32%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.68%2.9%2026-07-19 14:40
Novig1.60I 62.50%NM 60.69%2.47I 40.49%NM 39.31%3.0%2026-07-19 14:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.56I 64.10%NM 61.95%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.05%3.5%2026-07-19 14:35
Arbitrage (4 combinations) +0.64%DraftKings 1.68 (59.9%) / Pinnacle 2.51 (40.1%)Show all 4 combinations
Memphis Grizzlies (Local)Golden State Warriors (Visit)Margin
DraftKings 1.68 (59.9%)Pinnacle 2.51 (40.1%)+0.640%
DraftKings 1.68 (59.8%)Bovada 2.50 (40.2%)+0.478%
DraftKings 1.68 (59.7%)BetOnline.ag 2.49 (40.3%)+0.317%
DraftKings 1.68 (59.7%)LowVig.ag 2.49 (40.3%)+0.317%