The School of Odds

Memphis Grizzlies v Dallas Mavericks

2026-07-13 23:00 UTC — NBA Summer League

Head to Head

5 sportsbooks (3 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Memphis Grizzlies (Local)

Prediction 74.51%1.34fair odd
EV -3.88%
Edge -3.01%
Kelly -13.38%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.29

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
73.68%74.51%74.90%75.58%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.251.271.261.2980%79%79%78%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Dallas Mavericks (Visit)

Prediction 25.49%3.92fair odd
EV -0.599%
Edge -0.154%
Kelly -0.207%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.90

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.42%25.49%25.10%26.32%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
3.503.743.803.9029%27%26%26%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (5 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Fanatics1.29I 77.52%NM 74.90%EV -3.88%E -3.01%K -13.38%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.10%EV -1.87%E -0.487%K -0.657%G +0.000%3.5%2026-07-12 05:14
FanDuel1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.37%E -4.23%K -19.89%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -3.15%E -0.828%K -1.12%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-12 05:14
SportsBet1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -6.11%E -4.85%K -23.52%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -0.599%E -0.154%K -0.207%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-12 05:14
ReBet1.26I 79.37%NM 74.34%EV -6.11%E -4.85%K -23.52%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -6.97%E -1.91%K -2.63%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-12 05:14
theScore Bet1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -6.86%E -5.49%K -27.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -10.79%E -3.08%K -4.32%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-12 05:14
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%98.0%2026-07-12 07:44