The School of Odds
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Memphis Grizzlies v Chicago Bulls

Kickoff: 2026-07-11 00:00 UTC

Final: Memphis Grizzlies 97–96 Chicago Bulls

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

15 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Memphis Grizzlies (Local)

Prediction 67.31%1.49fair odd
EV -1.05%
Edge -0.716%
Kelly -2.24%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.47

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
63.88%67.09%67.29%69.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.371.401.401.4772.99%71.23%71.43%68.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Chicago Bulls (Visit)

Prediction 32.69%3.06fair odd
EV +3.30%
Edge +1.04%
Kelly +1.53%
Growth +0.050%

assuming max odds 3.16

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.24%32.91%32.71%36.12%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.602.912.903.1638.46%34.36%34.48%31.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Sportsbook Odds (15 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
SportsBet1.37I 72.99%NM 69.76%EV -7.78%E -5.68%K -21.04%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 30.24%EV +3.30%E +1.04%K +1.53%G +0.050%4.6%2026-07-10 23:54
FanDuel1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -7.11%E -5.15%K -18.71%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV +1.34%E +0.431%K +0.636%G +0.009%4.7%2026-07-10 23:54
Bovada1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -4.42%E -3.11%K -10.52%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -1.93%E -0.644%K -0.966%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-10 22:32
DraftKings1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -5.09%E -3.61%K -12.42%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV -1.93%E -0.644%K -0.966%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-10 23:49
ReBet1.40I 71.43%NM 68.11%EV -5.76%E -4.12%K -14.41%G +0.000%2.99I 33.44%NM 31.89%EV -2.26%E -0.756%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-10 23:49
Hard Rock Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -7.11%E -5.15%K -18.71%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -3.57%E -1.21%K -1.83%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-10 23:47
Pinnacle1.40I 71.43%NM 67.74%EV -5.76%E -4.12%K -14.41%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.26%EV -3.89%E -1.32%K -2.01%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-10 22:39
Betr (AU)1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -7.11%E -5.15%K -18.71%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -5.20%E -1.79%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-10 23:49
BetRivers1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -5.76%E -4.12%K -14.41%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -5.86%E -2.03%K -3.11%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-10 23:44
Fanatics1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -3.07%E -2.13%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -6.84%E -2.40%K -3.70%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-10 23:49
Fliff1.38I 72.46%NM 67.38%EV -7.11%E -5.15%K -18.71%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -6.84%E -2.40%K -3.70%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-10 23:49
Marathon Bet1.39I 71.94%NM 67.06%EV -6.44%E -4.63%K -16.51%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 32.94%EV -7.49%E -2.65%K -4.09%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-10 23:50
Ladbrokes (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -4.42%E -3.11%K -10.52%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -8.47%E -3.03%K -4.71%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-10 20:05
Neds1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -4.42%E -3.11%K -10.52%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -8.47%E -3.03%K -4.71%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-10 20:05
theScore Bet1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -1.05%E -0.716%K -2.24%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -15.01%E -5.77%K -9.38%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-10 22:24
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.45I 68.97%NM 66.97%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.03%3.0%2026-07-10 23:54