Memphis Grizzlies v Chicago Bulls

2026-07-11 00:00 — NBA Summer League

Head to Head

6 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

67%

33%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Memphis Grizzlies (Local)

Prediction 66.97%1.49fair odd

EV -3.56%

Edge -2.47%

Kelly -8.10%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.44

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

65.38%66.84%66.97%68.04%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

1.401.421.421.44MINMEANMEDIANMAX

All estimators

Consensus probabilities

65.38%1.530Min

68.04%1.470Max

66.84%1.496Mean

66.97%1.493Median

66.97%1.493IQM

66.94%1.494Margin-weighted

Chicago Bulls (Visit)

Prediction 33.03%3.03fair odd

EV -1.57%

Edge -0.527%

Kelly -0.793%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.98

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

31.96%33.16%33.03%34.62%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

2.702.862.902.98MINMEANMEDIANMAX

All estimators

Consensus probabilities

31.96%3.129Min

34.62%2.888Max

33.16%3.015Mean

33.03%3.028Median

33.03%3.028IQM

33.06%3.025Margin-weighted

Sportsbook Odds (6 sportsbooks)

Bookmaker	Memphis Grizzlies (Local) ▼	Chicago Bulls (Visit)	Margin	Updated
Fanatics	1.44I 69.44% NM 66.43%EV -3.56% E -2.47% K -8.10% G +0.000%	2.85I 35.09% NM 33.57%EV -5.86% E -2.06% K -3.17% G +0.000%	4.5%	2026-07-09 03:30
theScore Bet	1.43I 69.93% NM 65.38%EV -4.23% E -2.96% K -9.85% G +0.000%	2.70I 37.04% NM 34.62%EV -10.82% E -4.01% K -6.36% G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-07-09 03:25
DraftKings	1.42I 70.42% NM 67.51%EV -4.90% E -3.45% K -11.67% G +0.000%	2.95I 33.90% NM 32.49%EV -2.56% E -0.868% K -1.31% G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-07-09 03:25
ReBet	1.41I 70.92% NM 66.11%EV -5.57% E -3.95% K -13.59% G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36% NM 33.89%EV -9.17% E -3.33% K -5.24% G +0.000%	7.3%	2026-07-09 03:24
FanDuel	1.40I 71.43% NM 68.04%EV -6.24% E -4.46% K -15.61% G +0.000%	2.98I 33.56% NM 31.96%EV -1.57% E -0.527% K -0.793% G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-07-09 01:10
SportsBet	1.40I 71.43% NM 67.89%EV -6.24% E -4.46% K -15.61% G +0.000%	2.96I 33.78% NM 32.11%EV -2.23% E -0.753% K -1.14% G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-07-09 01:10

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth