Memphis Grizzlies v Atlanta Hawks

Kickoff: 2026-07-07 23:10 UTC

Final: Memphis Grizzlies 82–96 Atlanta Hawks

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

14 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

57%

43%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Memphis Grizzlies (Local)

Prediction 57.03%1.75fair odd

EV -0.199%

Edge -0.113%

Kelly -0.265%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

54.55%57.02%57.11%59.43%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

1.571.681.691.7563.69%59.65%59.17%57.14%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Atlanta Hawks (Visit)

Prediction 42.97%2.33fair odd

EV -1.17%

Edge -0.508%

Kelly -0.898%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

40.57%42.98%42.89%45.45%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

2.102.192.202.3047.62%45.71%45.45%43.48%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (14 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
FanDuel	1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -0.199%E -0.113%K -0.265%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -9.76%E -4.65%K -8.87%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-07-07 23:00
DraftKings	1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -0.769%E -0.442%K -1.04%G +0.000%	2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -8.04%E -3.76%K -7.06%G +0.000%	4.2%	2026-07-07 23:00
SportsBet	1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -0.769%E -0.442%K -1.04%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -9.76%E -4.65%K -8.87%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-07-07 23:00
ReBet	1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -1.91%E -1.11%K -2.65%G +0.000%	2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -8.04%E -3.76%K -7.06%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-07-07 22:59
Ladbrokes (AU)	1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.05%E -1.79%K -4.36%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -7.61%E -3.54%K -6.62%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-07-07 22:50
Neds	1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.05%E -1.79%K -4.36%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -7.61%E -3.54%K -6.62%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-07-07 22:50
Fanatics	1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.62%E -2.14%K -5.25%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.32%E -1.47%K -2.65%G +0.000%	3.6%	2026-07-07 23:00
Bovada	1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.62%E -2.14%K -5.25%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.32%E -1.47%K -2.65%G +0.000%	3.6%	2026-07-07 22:59
Pinnacle	1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -4.76%E -2.85%K -7.11%G +0.000%	2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -4.61%E -2.07%K -3.77%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-07-07 22:59
Hard Rock Bet	1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.90%E -3.58%K -9.08%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.46%E -2.48%K -4.55%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-07-07 23:00
Betr (AU)	1.63I 61.35%NM 57.44%EV -7.04%E -4.32%K -11.18%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56%EV -5.46%E -2.48%K -4.55%G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-07-07 22:59
theScore Bet	1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.61%E -4.70%K -12.28%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -5.46%E -2.48%K -4.55%G +0.000%	7.2%	2026-07-07 23:00
Marathon Bet	1.60I 62.50%NM 58.22%EV -8.75%E -5.47%K -14.59%G +0.000%	2.23I 44.84%NM 41.78%EV -4.18%E -1.87%K -3.39%G +0.000%	7.3%	2026-07-07 22:59
BetRivers	1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -10.46%E -6.66%K -18.36%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -1.17%E -0.508%K -0.898%G +0.000%	7.2%	2026-07-07 22:55

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

Bookmaker	Local	Visit	Margin ▲	Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)	1.73I 57.80%NM 56.64%	2.26I 44.25%NM 43.36%	2.1%	2026-07-07 22:55