Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 2.46
assuming max odds 1.63
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.81%EV +0.018%E +0.007%K +0.013%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.19%EV -7.43%E -4.76%K -13.26%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-11 02:24 |
| SportsBet | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.65%EV +0.018%E +0.007%K +0.013%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.35%EV -8.02%E -5.17%K -14.58%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-11 02:24 |
| Neds | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -0.388%E -0.158%K -0.268%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -9.21%E -6.02%K -17.37%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-11 02:14 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -0.388%E -0.158%K -0.268%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -9.21%E -6.02%K -17.37%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-11 02:19 |
| DraftKings | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -2.42%E -1.01%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -5.05%E -3.16%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-11 02:14 |
| Bovada | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.45%E -1.90%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.87%E -2.39%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-11 02:09 |
| Fanatics | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -6.49%E -2.82%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -5.65%E -3.55%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-11 02:25 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.49%E -2.82%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.83%E -4.35%K -11.99%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-11 02:14 |
| theScore Bet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.52%E -3.79%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.83%E -4.35%K -11.99%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-11 02:24 |
| BetRivers | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56%EV -10.55%E -4.80%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.44%EV -3.27%E -2.01%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-11 02:20 |
| Fliff | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -10.55%E -4.80%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.51%EV -7.43%E -4.76%K -13.26%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-07-11 02:25 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91% | 6.6% | 2026-07-11 02:24 |