Los Angeles Lakers v Oklahoma City Thunder

2026-07-11 02:00 — NBA Summer League

Head to Head

6 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

52%

48%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Los Angeles Lakers (Local)

Prediction 51.52%1.94fair odd

EV -2.62%

Edge -1.39%

Kelly -2.94%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.89

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

50.52%51.45%51.52%52.22%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

1.801.851.851.89MINMEANMEDIANMAX

All estimators

Consensus probabilities

50.52%1.979Min

52.22%1.915Max

51.45%1.944Mean

51.52%1.941Median

51.52%1.941IQM

51.41%1.945Margin-weighted

Oklahoma City Thunder (Visit)

Prediction 48.48%2.06fair odd

EV -3.05%

Edge -1.52%

Kelly -3.05%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

47.78%48.55%48.48%49.48%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

1.921.951.942.00MINMEANMEDIANMAX

All estimators

Consensus probabilities

47.78%2.093Min

49.48%2.021Max

48.55%2.060Mean

48.48%2.063Median

48.48%2.063IQM

48.59%2.058Margin-weighted

Sportsbook Odds (6 sportsbooks)

Bookmaker	Los Angeles Lakers (Local) ▼	Oklahoma City Thunder (Visit)	Margin	Updated
FanDuel	1.89I 52.91% NM 50.52%EV -2.62% E -1.39% K -2.94% G +0.000%	1.93I 51.81% NM 49.48%EV -6.44% E -3.34% K -6.93% G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-07-09 01:20
SportsBet	1.88I 53.19% NM 50.53%EV -3.14% E -1.67% K -3.56% G +0.000%	1.92I 52.08% NM 49.47%EV -6.93% E -3.61% K -7.53% G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-07-09 01:20
Fanatics	1.87I 53.48% NM 51.05%EV -3.65% E -1.95% K -4.20% G +0.000%	1.95I 51.28% NM 48.95%EV -5.47% E -2.81% K -5.76% G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-07-09 04:28
DraftKings	1.83I 54.64% NM 52.22%EV -5.71% E -3.12% K -6.88% G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00% NM 47.78%EV -3.05% E -1.52% K -3.05% G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-07-09 03:28
ReBet	1.81I 55.25% NM 51.60%EV -6.74% E -3.73% K -8.32% G +0.000%	1.93I 51.81% NM 48.40%EV -6.44% E -3.34% K -6.93% G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-07-09 04:30
theScore Bet	1.80I 55.56% NM 52.00%EV -7.26% E -4.03% K -9.07% G +0.000%	1.95I 51.28% NM 48.00%EV -5.47% E -2.81% K -5.76% G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-07-09 03:29

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Exchanges (1)

Bookmaker	Los Angeles Lakers (Local)	Oklahoma City Thunder (Visit)	Margin ▲	Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)	1.01I 99.01% NM 50.00%	1.01I 99.01% NM 50.00%	98.0%	2026-07-09 07:05