Los Angeles Lakers v Miami Heat

2026-07-05 20:30 — NBA Summer League

Head to Head

13 sportsbooks (6 in analysis)

Option 1: Los Angeles Lakers (Local)

Odds

2.1446.73%Min

2.2544.40%Mean

2.2045.45%Median

2.4041.67%Max

Consensus probabilities

39.03%2.562Min

44.85%2.230Max

42.21%2.369Mean

42.69%2.342Median

42.35%2.361IQM

42.27%2.365Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 2.40 under the IQM model: 42.35%

EV +1.64%Edge +0.682%Kelly +1.17%Growth +0.019%

Option 2: Miami Heat (Visit)

Odds

1.5365.36%Min

1.6460.80%Mean

1.6261.73%Median

1.7457.47%Max

Consensus probabilities

55.15%1.813Min

60.97%1.640Max

57.79%1.730Mean

57.31%1.745Median

57.65%1.735IQM

57.73%1.732Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 1.74 under the IQM model: 57.65%

EV +0.313%Edge +0.180%Kelly +0.423%Growth +0.001%

Sportsbook Odds (13 sportsbooks)

Bookmaker	Los Angeles Lakers (Local) ▼	Miami Heat (Visit)	Margin	Updated
Fanatics	2.40I 41.67% NM 40.30%EV +1.64% E +0.682% K +1.17% G +0.019%	1.62I 61.73% NM 59.70%EV -6.60% E -4.08% K -10.65% G +0.000%	3.4%	2026-07-05 13:40
Marathon Bet	2.39I 41.84% NM 39.03%EV +1.21% E +0.508% K +0.873% G +0.011%	1.53I 65.36% NM 60.97%EV -11.79% E -7.71% K -22.25% G +0.000%	7.2%	2026-07-05 13:54
Bovada	2.35I 42.55% NM 40.81%EV -0.481% E -0.204% K -0.356% G +0.000%	1.62I 61.73% NM 59.19%EV -6.60% E -4.08% K -10.65% G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-07-05 13:53
Ladbrokes (AU)	2.35I 42.55% NM 40.51%EV -0.481% E -0.204% K -0.356% G +0.000%	1.60I 62.50% NM 59.49%EV -7.76% E -4.85% K -12.93% G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-07-05 13:35
Neds	2.35I 42.55% NM 40.51%EV -0.481% E -0.204% K -0.356% G +0.000%	1.60I 62.50% NM 59.49%EV -7.76% E -4.85% K -12.93% G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-07-05 13:35
theScore Bet	2.25I 44.44% NM 41.71%EV -4.72% E -2.10% K -3.77% G +0.000%	1.61I 62.11% NM 58.29%EV -7.18% E -4.46% K -11.77% G +0.000%	6.6%	2026-07-05 13:50
Hard Rock Bet	2.20I 45.45% NM 43.73%EV -6.83% E -3.11% K -5.69% G +0.000%	1.71I 58.48% NM 56.27%EV -1.42% E -0.828% K -1.99% G +0.000%	3.9%	2026-07-05 14:19
Betr (AU)	2.20I 45.45% NM 42.26%EV -6.83% E -3.11% K -5.69% G +0.000%	1.61I 62.11% NM 57.74%EV -7.18% E -4.46% K -11.77% G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-07-05 14:15
FanDuel	2.18I 45.87% NM 43.67%EV -7.68% E -3.52% K -6.51% G +0.000%	1.69I 59.17% NM 56.33%EV -2.57% E -1.52% K -3.72% G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-07-05 13:44
SportsBet	2.18I 45.87% NM 43.67%EV -7.68% E -3.52% K -6.51% G +0.000%	1.69I 59.17% NM 56.33%EV -2.57% E -1.52% K -3.72% G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-07-05 13:45
BetRivers	2.15I 46.51% NM 43.72%EV -8.95% E -4.16% K -7.78% G +0.000%	1.67I 59.88% NM 56.28%EV -3.72% E -2.23% K -5.56% G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-07-05 13:05
DraftKings	2.14I 46.73% NM 44.85%EV -9.37% E -4.38% K -8.22% G +0.000%	1.74I 57.47% NM 55.15%EV +0.313% E +0.180% K +0.423% G +0.001%	4.2%	2026-07-05 14:10
ReBet	2.14I 46.73% NM 44.13%EV -9.37% E -4.38% K -8.22% G +0.000%	1.69I 59.17% NM 55.87%EV -2.57% E -1.52% K -3.72% G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-07-05 14:19

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Exchanges (1)

Bookmaker	Los Angeles Lakers (Local)	Miami Heat (Visit)	Margin ▲	Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)	2.46I 40.65%	1.65I 60.61%	1.3%	2026-07-05 14:20

Arbitrage (2 combinations)+0.87%Fanatics 2.40 (42.0%) / DraftKings 1.74 (58.0%)Show all 2 combinations

Fanatics DraftKings Marathon Bet

Los Angeles Lakers (Local)	Miami Heat (Visit)	Margin
Fanatics 2.40 (42.0%)	DraftKings 1.74 (58.0%)	+0.870%
Marathon Bet 2.39 (42.1%)	DraftKings 1.74 (57.9%)	+0.692%