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Los Angeles Lakers v Miami Heat
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Los Angeles Lakers (Local)
assuming max odds 2.90
Miami Heat (Visit)
assuming max odds 1.50
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Los Angeles Lakers (Local): 35.17%; Miami Heat (Visit): 64.83%. For Los Angeles Lakers (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.84. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.90, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.99%.
Sportsbook Odds (14 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV +1.99%E +0.688%K +1.05%G +0.021% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -7.29%E -5.10%K -16.96%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-05 20:10 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.27%EV -1.52%E -0.544%K -0.846%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.73%EV -5.35%E -3.66%K -11.63%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-05 18:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.76I 36.23%NM 34.44%EV -2.93%E -1.06%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.56%EV -6.00%E -4.14%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-05 20:10 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.73I 36.63%NM 34.84%EV -3.98%E -1.46%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.16%EV -5.35%E -3.66%K -11.63%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-05 20:15 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.72I 36.76%NM 35.08%EV -4.34%E -1.59%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.92%EV -4.70%E -3.20%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-05 20:15 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -5.04%E -1.87%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -2.76%E -1.84%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-07-05 19:59 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -5.04%E -1.87%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.00%E -4.14%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-05 20:09 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -6.80%E -2.57%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -6.65%E -4.61%K -15.10%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-05 20:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -8.56%E -3.29%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.05%E -2.74%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-05 19:09 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -8.56%E -3.29%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.05%E -2.74%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-05 19:09 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -8.56%E -3.29%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -4.70%E -3.20%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-05 17:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -8.56%E -3.29%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.04%EV -5.35%E -3.66%K -11.63%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-05 20:19 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.93%EV -10.32%E -4.05%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.07%EV -7.29%E -5.10%K -16.96%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-07-05 20:25 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.00%EV -11.37%E -4.51%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.00%EV -4.05%E -2.74%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-05 20:15 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (1)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.76I 36.23%NM 35.96% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 64.04% | 0.7% | 2026-07-05 20:25 |
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