The School of OddsLos Angeles Lakers v Miami Heat
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. See how the models score across every settled game →
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Head to Head
Los Angeles Lakers (Local)
Prediction 35.17%2.84fair odd
EV +1.99%
Edge +0.688%
Kelly +1.05%
Growth +0.021%
assuming max odds 2.90
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.03%35.12%35.15%37.00%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.522.672.672.9040%37%37%34%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Miami Heat (Visit)
Prediction 64.83%1.54fair odd
EV -2.76%
Edge -1.84%
Kelly -5.51%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
63.00%64.88%64.85%66.97%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.431.461.461.5070%68%68%67%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Sportsbook Odds (14 sportsbooks)
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fanatics | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV +1.99%E +0.688%K +1.05%G +0.021% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -7.29%E -5.10%K -16.96%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-05 20:10 |
| DraftKings | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.27%EV -1.52%E -0.544%K -0.846%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.73%EV -5.35%E -3.66%K -11.63%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-05 18:45 |
| SportsBet | 2.76I 36.23%NM 34.44%EV -2.93%E -1.06%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.56%EV -6.00%E -4.14%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-05 20:10 |
| ReBet | 2.73I 36.63%NM 34.84%EV -3.98%E -1.46%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.16%EV -5.35%E -3.66%K -11.63%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-05 20:15 |
| FanDuel | 2.72I 36.76%NM 35.08%EV -4.34%E -1.59%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.92%EV -4.70%E -3.20%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-05 20:15 |
| Bovada | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -5.04%E -1.87%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -2.76%E -1.84%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-07-05 19:59 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -5.04%E -1.87%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.00%E -4.14%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-05 20:09 |
| theScore Bet | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -6.80%E -2.57%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -6.65%E -4.61%K -15.10%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-05 20:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -8.56%E -3.29%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.05%E -2.74%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-05 19:09 |
| Neds | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -8.56%E -3.29%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.05%E -2.74%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-05 19:09 |
| BetRivers | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -8.56%E -3.29%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -4.70%E -3.20%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-05 17:00 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -8.56%E -3.29%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.04%EV -5.35%E -3.66%K -11.63%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-05 20:19 |
| Fliff | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.93%EV -10.32%E -4.05%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.07%EV -7.29%E -5.10%K -16.96%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-07-05 20:25 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.00%EV -11.37%E -4.51%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.00%EV -4.05%E -2.74%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-05 20:15 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (1)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.76I 36.23%NM 35.96% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 64.04% | 0.7% | 2026-07-05 20:25 |