Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Los Angeles Lakers v Los Angeles Clippers

Kickoff: 2026-07-15 02:00 UTC

Final: Los Angeles Lakers 99–85 Los Angeles Clippers

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

15 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Los Angeles Lakers (Local)

Prediction 44.46%2.25fair odd
EV -2.20%
Edge -0.999%
Kelly -1.83%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.72%45.08%44.59%49.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.912.082.102.2052.36%48.00%47.62%45.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Los Angeles Clippers (Visit)

Prediction 55.54%1.80fair odd
EV +4.98%
Edge +2.63%
Kelly +5.59%
Growth +0.279%

assuming max odds 1.89

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.26%54.92%55.41%56.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.661.751.741.8960.24%57.12%57.47%52.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Los Angeles Lakers (Local): 44.46%; Los Angeles Clippers (Visit): 55.54%. For Los Angeles Clippers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.80. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.89, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.98%.

Sportsbook Odds (15 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
FanDuel1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -14.20%E -7.36%K -15.27%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV +4.98%E +2.63%K +5.59%G +0.279%4.7%2026-07-15 01:54
SportsBet1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -15.09%E -7.90%K -16.58%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV +4.98%E +2.63%K +5.59%G +0.279%5.3%2026-07-15 01:53
Bovada2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -8.87%E -4.32%K -8.44%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -0.020%E -0.011%K -0.025%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-15 01:55
Hard Rock Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -6.64%E -3.16%K -6.04%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -1.69%E -0.953%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-15 01:54
ReBet2.09I 47.85%NM 45.57%EV -7.09%E -3.39%K -6.50%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.43%EV -2.80%E -1.60%K -3.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-15 01:54
Ladbrokes (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -8.87%E -4.32%K -8.44%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -2.80%E -1.60%K -3.73%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-15 01:54
Neds2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -8.87%E -4.32%K -8.44%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -2.80%E -1.60%K -3.73%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-15 01:54
DraftKings2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -4.86%E -2.27%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -3.35%E -1.93%K -4.53%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-15 01:44
theScore Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -8.87%E -4.32%K -8.44%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -3.35%E -1.93%K -4.53%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-15 01:54
BetOnline.ag2.17I 46.08%NM 44.36%EV -3.53%E -1.63%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.64%EV -3.91%E -2.26%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-15 01:54
Pinnacle2.13I 46.95%NM 44.82%EV -5.31%E -2.49%K -4.70%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.18%EV -3.91%E -2.26%K -5.35%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-15 01:49
Fanatics2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.20%E -0.999%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -5.02%E -2.94%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-15 01:44
Betr (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -6.64%E -3.16%K -6.04%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -6.69%E -3.98%K -9.83%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-15 01:54
BetRivers2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -4.42%E -2.06%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -7.24%E -4.34%K -10.81%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-15 01:55
Marathon Bet2.13I 46.95%NM 43.80%EV -5.31%E -2.49%K -4.70%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.20%EV -7.80%E -4.70%K -11.81%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-15 01:54
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.04I 49.02%NM 47.69%1.86I 53.76%NM 52.31%2.8%2026-07-15 01:55