The School of Odds

Los Angeles Lakers v Golden State Warriors

2026-07-19 00:30 UTC — NBA Summer League

Head to Head

3 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Los Angeles Lakers (Local)

Prediction 50.72%1.97fair odd
EV -1.61%
Edge -0.829%
Kelly -1.71%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.94

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
49.08%50.72%50.72%52.22%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.831.901.941.9455%53%52%52%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Golden State Warriors (Visit)

Prediction 49.28%2.03fair odd
EV -1.43%
Edge -0.717%
Kelly -1.43%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.78%49.28%49.28%50.92%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.871.921.882.0053%52%53%50%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (3 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
FanDuel1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -1.61%E -0.829%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -7.35%E -3.91%K -8.35%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-17 06:05
SportsBet1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -1.61%E -0.829%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -7.84%E -4.19%K -9.01%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-17 06:04
DraftKings1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -7.19%E -3.93%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -1.43%E -0.717%K -1.43%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-17 04:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%98.0%2026-07-17 07:20