The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Los Angeles Clippers v Washington Wizards

Kickoff: 2026-07-16 02:30 UTC

Final: Los Angeles Clippers 108–94 Washington Wizards

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

20 sportsbooks (10 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Los Angeles Clippers (Local)

Prediction 60.31%1.66fair odd
EV +1.32%
Edge +0.785%
Kelly +1.94%
Growth +0.026%

assuming max odds 1.68

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
55.79%60.14%60.55%63.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.491.591.581.6867.11%63.07%63.29%59.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Washington Wizards (Visit)

Prediction 39.69%2.52fair odd
EV +4.79%
Edge +1.81%
Kelly +2.92%
Growth +0.140%

assuming max odds 2.64

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.08%39.86%39.45%44.21%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.122.402.402.6447.17%41.71%41.67%37.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Los Angeles Clippers (Local): 60.31%; Washington Wizards (Visit): 39.69%. For Washington Wizards (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.52. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.64, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.79%.

Sportsbook Odds (20 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
FanDuel1.49I 67.11%NM 63.92%EV -10.14%E -6.81%K -20.69%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.08%EV +4.79%E +1.81%K +2.92%G +0.140%5.0%2026-07-16 02:20
SportsBet1.51I 66.23%NM 63.08%EV -8.93%E -5.92%K -17.52%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.92%EV +2.40%E +0.932%K +1.52%G +0.037%5.0%2026-07-16 02:25
Bovada1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -5.32%E -3.39%K -9.33%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -0.771%E -0.308%K -0.514%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-16 02:20
Hard Rock Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -5.92%E -3.79%K -10.57%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -0.771%E -0.308%K -0.514%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-16 02:25
Caesars1.57I 63.69%NM 61.23%EV -5.32%E -3.39%K -9.33%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.77%EV -1.56%E -0.631%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-16 02:25
ReBet1.56I 64.10%NM 61.19%EV -5.92%E -3.79%K -10.57%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.81%EV -2.36%E -0.959%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-16 02:25
DraftKings1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.32%E -3.39%K -9.33%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -2.76%E -1.12%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-16 02:25
Marathon Bet1.52I 65.79%NM 61.32%EV -8.33%E -5.48%K -16.02%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 38.68%EV -4.34%E -1.80%K -3.08%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-16 02:25
Fanatics1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -2.30%E -1.42%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -4.74%E -1.98%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-16 02:25
BetMGM1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.11%E -2.58%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.74%E -1.98%K -3.39%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-16 02:15
theScore Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -7.73%E -5.05%K -14.58%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -4.74%E -1.98%K -3.39%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-16 02:25
BetOnline.ag1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -0.491%E -0.298%K -0.756%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -6.72%E -2.86%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-16 02:25
LowVig.ag1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -0.491%E -0.298%K -0.756%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -6.72%E -2.86%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-16 02:25
Neds1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.51%E -2.19%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.72%E -2.86%K -4.98%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-16 00:50
Ladbrokes (AU)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.51%E -2.19%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.72%E -2.86%K -4.98%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-16 00:50
BetUS1.65I 60.61%NM 58.65%EV -0.491%E -0.298%K -0.756%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.35%EV -7.12%E -3.04%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.3%2026-07-16 02:25
MyBookie.ag1.56I 64.10%NM 59.79%EV -5.92%E -3.79%K -10.57%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.21%EV -7.92%E -3.41%K -6.00%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-16 02:25
Pinnacle1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -1.70%E -1.04%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -8.71%E -3.79%K -6.70%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-16 02:10
Betr (AU)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -3.51%E -2.19%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -10.69%E -4.75%K -8.56%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-16 00:55
BetRivers1.68I 59.52%NM 55.79%EV +1.32%E +0.785%K +1.94%G +0.026%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -15.85%E -7.48%K -14.16%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-16 02:20
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig1.64I 60.98%NM 60.67%2.53I 39.53%NM 39.33%0.5%2026-07-16 02:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.61I 62.11%NM 60.83%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.17%2.1%2026-07-16 02:25
ProphetX1.63I 61.35%NM 59.95%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.05%2.3%2026-07-16 02:25