Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Los Angeles Clippers v Sacramento Kings

Kickoff: 2026-07-10 03:20 UTC

Final: Los Angeles Clippers 85–91 Sacramento Kings

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

15 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Los Angeles Clippers (Local)

Prediction 43.01%2.33fair odd
EV +5.36%
Edge +2.19%
Kelly +3.70%
Growth +0.198%

assuming max odds 2.45

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.90%42.57%43.72%43.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.152.232.202.4546.51%44.86%45.45%40.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Sacramento Kings (Visit)

Prediction 56.99%1.75fair odd
EV -2.54%
Edge -1.49%
Kelly -3.58%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.71

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
56.07%57.43%56.28%61.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.561.651.651.7164.10%60.78%60.61%58.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Los Angeles Clippers (Local): 43.01%; Sacramento Kings (Visit): 56.99%. For Los Angeles Clippers (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.33. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.45, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.36%.

Sportsbook Odds (15 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
SportsBet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV +5.36%E +2.19%K +3.70%G +0.198%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -11.09%E -7.11%K -19.80%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-10 03:14
FanDuel🎯2.44I 40.98%NM 39.00%EV +4.93%E +2.02%K +3.43%G +0.169%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.00%EV -11.09%E -7.11%K -19.80%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-10 03:14
DraftKings🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV +1.49%E +0.633%K +1.10%G +0.016%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -7.67%E -4.73%K -12.37%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-10 03:14
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -3.24%E -1.44%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -6.53%E -3.98%K -10.20%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-10 03:09
Neds🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -3.24%E -1.44%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -6.53%E -3.98%K -10.20%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-10 03:09
ReBet🎯2.21I 45.25%NM 43.04%EV -4.96%E -2.24%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.96%EV -4.82%E -2.89%K -7.19%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-10 02:59
Fanatics🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -5.39%E -2.45%K -4.49%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -2.54%E -1.49%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-10 03:09
Bovada🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -5.39%E -2.45%K -4.49%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -2.54%E -1.49%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-10 03:09
Pinnacle🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -6.68%E -3.08%K -5.71%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -3.11%E -1.83%K -4.44%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-10 02:59
Marathon Bet🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.16%EV -7.11%E -3.29%K -6.13%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.84%EV -6.53%E -3.98%K -10.20%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-10 02:59
BetRivers🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -7.54%E -3.51%K -6.55%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -4.82%E -2.89%K -7.19%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-10 03:09
theScore Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -7.54%E -3.51%K -6.55%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -4.82%E -2.89%K -7.19%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-10 03:09
Betr (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.54%E -3.51%K -6.55%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -5.96%E -3.61%K -9.17%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-10 02:59
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.54%E -3.51%K -6.55%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -5.96%E -3.61%K -9.17%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-10 03:09
Fliff🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.51%EV -7.54%E -3.51%K -6.55%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 57.49%EV -9.38%E -5.90%K -15.90%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-10 03:09
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%98.0%2026-07-10 03:15

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