The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Los Angeles Clippers v Minnesota Timberwolves

Kickoff: 2026-07-18 03:00 UTC

Final: Los Angeles Clippers 128–120 Minnesota Timberwolves

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

21 sportsbooks (10 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Los Angeles Clippers (Local)

Prediction 56.01%1.79fair odd
EV -0.868%
Edge -0.490%
Kelly -1.13%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.77

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.26%55.91%56.05%56.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.641.701.691.7760.98%58.89%59.17%56.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Minnesota Timberwolves (Visit)

Prediction 43.99%2.27fair odd
EV -2.34%
Edge -1.05%
Kelly -1.91%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.22

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.16%44.09%43.95%45.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.162.152.2247.62%46.39%46.51%45.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Los Angeles Clippers (Local): 56.01%; Minnesota Timberwolves (Visit): 43.99%. For Los Angeles Clippers (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.79. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.77, with an expected value of -0.868%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (21 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Fanatics🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -0.868%E -0.490%K -1.13%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -7.61%E -3.63%K -6.92%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-18 02:50
LowVig.ag🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.36%EV -1.99%E -1.14%K -2.65%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.64%EV -4.54%E -2.09%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-18 02:50
BetOnline.ag🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -2.55%E -1.46%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -5.42%E -2.52%K -4.71%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-18 02:50
BetUS🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -2.55%E -1.46%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -5.42%E -2.52%K -4.71%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-18 02:50
DraftKings🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -2.55%E -1.46%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -5.86%E -2.74%K -5.14%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-18 02:55
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.23%E -2.47%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.22%E -1.46%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-18 02:44
Bovada🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.23%E -2.47%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.22%E -1.46%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-18 02:55
Pinnacle🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -4.23%E -2.47%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -4.98%E -2.30%K -4.29%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-18 02:50
SportsBet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -4.79%E -2.82%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -4.98%E -2.30%K -4.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-18 02:45
Caesars🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -5.35%E -3.16%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -2.34%E -1.05%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-18 02:44
BetMGM🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -5.35%E -3.16%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -3.22%E -1.46%K -2.68%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-17 13:24
FanDuel🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -5.35%E -3.16%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -4.10%E -1.88%K -3.47%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-18 02:40
ReBet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -5.35%E -3.16%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -4.10%E -1.88%K -3.47%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-18 02:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.91%E -3.52%K -8.69%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.42%E -2.52%K -4.71%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-17 13:19
Neds🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.91%E -3.52%K -8.69%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.42%E -2.52%K -4.71%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-17 13:20
BetRivers🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.79%EV -5.91%E -3.52%K -8.69%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -6.73%E -3.18%K -6.01%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-17 03:25
theScore Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.47%E -3.87%K -9.65%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.42%E -2.52%K -4.71%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-17 17:54
Betr (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.47%E -3.87%K -9.65%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.61%E -3.63%K -6.92%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-18 02:50
MyBookie.ag🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.20%EV -7.03%E -4.23%K -10.65%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 43.80%EV -6.29%E -2.96%K -5.57%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-18 02:48
Fliff🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -7.59%E -4.60%K -11.67%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -7.61%E -3.63%K -6.92%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-18 02:40
Marathon Bet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.84%EV -8.15%E -4.97%K -12.73%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.16%EV -4.98%E -2.30%K -4.29%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-18 02:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig◎1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-07-18 02:50
ProphetX◎1.74I 57.47%NM 56.50%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.50%1.7%2026-07-18 02:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%2.5%2026-07-18 02:55