The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Indiana Pacers v Toronto Raptors

Kickoff: 2026-07-13 20:30 UTC

Final: Indiana Pacers 93–94 Toronto Raptors

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

16 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Indiana Pacers (Local)

Prediction 41.92%2.39fair odd
EV -1.48%
Edge -0.630%
Kelly -1.10%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.35

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.81%42.30%41.92%44.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.152.262.252.3546.51%44.28%44.44%42.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Toronto Raptors (Visit)

Prediction 58.08%1.72fair odd
EV -0.688%
Edge -0.402%
Kelly -0.969%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.71

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
55.70%57.70%58.08%59.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.591.641.621.7162.89%60.98%61.73%58.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Indiana Pacers (Local): 41.92%; Toronto Raptors (Visit): 58.08%. For Toronto Raptors (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.72. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.71, with an expected value of -0.688%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (16 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Hard Rock Bet2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -1.48%E -0.630%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.91%E -3.65%K -9.54%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-12 21:19
Pinnacle2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -3.16%E -1.37%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -5.91%E -3.65%K -9.54%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-13 20:20
Fanatics2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -3.58%E -1.56%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.01%E -1.80%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-13 20:24
DraftKings2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.58%E -1.56%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.17%E -2.53%K -6.42%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-13 20:25
ReBet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.58%E -1.56%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.91%E -3.65%K -9.54%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-13 20:25
Neds2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.58%E -1.56%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.91%E -3.65%K -9.54%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-13 17:15
Ladbrokes (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.58%E -1.56%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.91%E -3.65%K -9.54%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-13 17:15
Bovada2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -5.67%E -2.52%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -1.85%E -1.09%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-13 20:24
theScore Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -5.67%E -2.52%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -6.50%E -4.03%K -10.65%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-13 20:24
Fliff2.25I 44.44%NM 41.41%EV -5.67%E -2.52%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 58.59%EV -7.66%E -4.82%K -12.98%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-13 20:15
Betr (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.41%EV -5.67%E -2.52%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 58.59%EV -7.66%E -4.82%K -12.98%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-13 20:25
BetRivers2.23I 44.84%NM 42.08%EV -6.51%E -2.92%K -5.29%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.92%EV -5.91%E -3.65%K -9.54%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-13 11:34
Marathon Bet2.23I 44.84%NM 41.78%EV -6.51%E -2.92%K -5.29%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.22%EV -7.08%E -4.42%K -11.79%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-13 20:23
BetOnline.ag2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -7.77%E -3.53%K -6.47%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -0.688%E -0.402%K -0.969%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-13 20:25
FanDuel2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -9.45%E -4.37%K -8.14%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -1.27%E -0.746%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-13 20:25
SportsBet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -9.87%E -4.59%K -8.58%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -0.688%E -0.402%K -0.969%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-13 20:25
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.22I 45.05%NM 44.36%1.77I 56.50%NM 55.64%1.5%2026-07-13 20:25