Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Indiana Pacers v Cleveland Cavaliers

Kickoff: 2026-07-10 20:35 UTC

Final: Indiana Pacers 99–93 Cleveland Cavaliers

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

13 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Indiana Pacers (Local)

Prediction 33.14%3.02fair odd
EV +1.08%
Edge +0.354%
Kelly +0.526%
Growth +0.006%

assuming max odds 3.05

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.46%33.33%33.41%36.12%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.602.842.823.0538.46%35.19%35.46%32.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Cleveland Cavaliers (Visit)

Prediction 66.86%1.50fair odd
EV -1.72%
Edge -1.17%
Kelly -3.65%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.47

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
63.88%66.67%66.59%68.54%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.401.421.411.4771.43%70.42%70.92%68.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Sportsbook Odds (13 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
DraftKings3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV +1.08%E +0.354%K +0.526%G +0.006%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -6.40%E -4.57%K -15.99%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-10 20:30
Fanatics2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -2.24%E -0.758%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -5.06%E -3.56%K -12.05%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-10 20:30
FanDuel2.94I 34.01%NM 32.41%EV -2.57%E -0.873%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.59%EV -5.73%E -4.06%K -13.97%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-10 20:30
SportsBet2.94I 34.01%NM 32.41%EV -2.57%E -0.873%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.59%EV -5.73%E -4.06%K -13.97%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-10 20:30
Bovada2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -5.55%E -1.95%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -3.72%E -2.59%K -8.46%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-10 20:28
Hard Rock Bet2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -5.55%E -1.95%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -6.40%E -4.57%K -15.99%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-10 20:30
Pinnacle2.82I 35.46%NM 33.65%EV -6.54%E -2.32%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.35%EV -4.39%E -3.07%K -10.21%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-10 20:29
Ladbrokes (AU)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -7.21%E -2.57%K -4.00%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -3.72%E -2.59%K -8.46%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-10 20:29
Neds2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -7.21%E -2.57%K -4.00%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -3.72%E -2.59%K -8.46%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-10 20:30
Betr (AU)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -7.21%E -2.57%K -4.00%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -6.40%E -4.57%K -15.99%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-10 20:29
Marathon Bet2.79I 35.84%NM 33.41%EV -7.54%E -2.70%K -4.21%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.59%EV -6.40%E -4.57%K -15.99%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-10 20:29
theScore Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -8.86%E -3.22%K -5.06%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.40%E -4.57%K -15.99%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-10 20:30
BetRivers2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -13.83%E -5.32%K -8.65%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -1.72%E -1.17%K -3.65%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-10 20:30
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.14I 87.72%NM 54.58%1.37I 72.99%NM 45.42%60.7%2026-07-10 20:30