Indiana Pacers v Cleveland Cavaliers

2026-07-10 20:30 — NBA Summer League

Head to Head

6 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

46%

54%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Indiana Pacers (Local)

Prediction 45.82%2.18fair odd

EV -1.94%

Edge -0.906%

Kelly -1.70%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.14

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

44.42%45.70%45.82%46.75%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

2.032.082.082.14MINMEANMEDIANMAX

All estimators

Consensus probabilities

44.42%2.251Min

46.75%2.139Max

45.70%2.188Mean

45.82%2.182Median

45.82%2.182IQM

45.74%2.186Margin-weighted

Cleveland Cavaliers (Visit)

Prediction 54.18%1.85fair odd

EV -2.48%

Edge -1.38%

Kelly -3.10%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

53.25%54.30%54.18%55.58%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

1.711.751.741.80MINMEANMEDIANMAX

All estimators

Consensus probabilities

53.25%1.878Min

55.58%1.799Max

54.30%1.842Mean

54.18%1.846Median

54.18%1.846IQM

54.26%1.843Margin-weighted

Sportsbook Odds (6 sportsbooks)

Bookmaker	Indiana Pacers (Local) ▼	Cleveland Cavaliers (Visit)	Margin	Updated
FanDuel	2.14I 46.73% NM 44.42%EV -1.94% E -0.906% K -1.70% G +0.000%	1.71I 58.48% NM 55.58%EV -7.36% E -4.30% K -10.36% G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-07-09 03:10
SportsBet	2.13I 46.95% NM 44.68%EV -2.40% E -1.12% K -2.12% G +0.000%	1.72I 58.14% NM 55.32%EV -6.82% E -3.96% K -9.47% G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-07-09 03:10
Fanatics	2.10I 47.62% NM 45.74%EV -3.77% E -1.80% K -3.43% G +0.000%	1.77I 56.50% NM 54.26%EV -4.11% E -2.32% K -5.33% G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-07-09 03:24
DraftKings	2.05I 48.78% NM 46.75%EV -6.06% E -2.96% K -5.77% G +0.000%	1.80I 55.56% NM 53.25%EV -2.48% E -1.38% K -3.10% G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-07-09 03:20
theScore Bet	2.05I 48.78% NM 45.91%EV -6.06% E -2.96% K -5.77% G +0.000%	1.74I 57.47% NM 54.09%EV -5.73% E -3.29% K -7.75% G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-07-09 03:25
ReBet	2.03I 49.26% NM 46.15%EV -6.98% E -3.44% K -6.78% G +0.000%	1.74I 57.47% NM 53.85%EV -5.73% E -3.29% K -7.75% G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-07-09 04:24

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Exchanges (1)

Bookmaker	Indiana Pacers (Local)	Cleveland Cavaliers (Visit)	Margin ▲	Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)	1.01I 99.01% NM 50.00%	1.01I 99.01% NM 50.00%	98.0%	2026-07-09 01:10