The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Houston Rockets v Philadelphia 76ers

Kickoff: 2026-07-14 20:00 UTC

Final: Houston Rockets 90–64 Philadelphia 76ers

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

16 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Houston Rockets (Local)

Prediction 43.01%2.33fair odd
EV -1.08%
Edge -0.468%
Kelly -0.829%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.77%43.20%43.04%45.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.182.192.3047.62%45.79%45.66%43.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Philadelphia 76ers (Visit)

Prediction 56.99%1.75fair odd
EV +0.872%
Edge +0.493%
Kelly +1.13%
Growth +0.010%

assuming max odds 1.77

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.26%56.80%56.96%58.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.601.681.691.7762.50%59.48%59.17%56.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Houston Rockets (Local): 43.01%; Philadelphia 76ers (Visit): 56.99%. For Philadelphia 76ers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.75. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.77, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.872%.

Sportsbook Odds (16 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
BetOnline.ag2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -9.68%E -4.61%K -8.80%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV +0.872%E +0.493%K +1.13%G +0.010%4.1%2026-07-14 19:39
Bovada2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -7.53%E -3.50%K -6.55%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -0.837%E -0.481%K -1.13%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-14 19:49
Neds2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -9.68%E -4.61%K -8.80%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -1.41%E -0.813%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-14 19:44
Ladbrokes (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -9.68%E -4.61%K -8.80%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -1.41%E -0.813%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-14 19:44
Fanatics2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -5.38%E -2.44%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -2.55%E -1.49%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-14 19:49
Pinnacle2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -7.53%E -3.50%K -6.55%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -2.55%E -1.49%K -3.59%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-14 19:44
Hard Rock Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.23%E -1.43%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.69%E -2.18%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-14 19:54
FanDuel2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -6.24%E -2.86%K -5.29%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -3.69%E -2.18%K -5.34%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-14 19:54
SportsBet2.17I 46.08%NM 43.78%EV -6.67%E -3.07%K -5.70%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.22%EV -3.69%E -2.18%K -5.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-14 19:54
ReBet2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -4.09%E -1.83%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -4.83%E -2.89%K -7.20%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-14 19:54
DraftKings2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -1.08%E -0.468%K -0.829%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -5.97%E -3.62%K -9.18%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-14 17:04
Betr (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.53%E -3.50%K -6.55%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -5.97%E -3.62%K -9.18%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-14 19:54
BetRivers2.23I 44.84%NM 42.23%EV -4.09%E -1.83%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.77%EV -7.11%E -4.36%K -11.28%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-14 18:54
theScore Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -5.38%E -2.44%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.68%E -4.74%K -12.38%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-14 19:54
Fliff2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -5.38%E -2.44%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.68%E -4.74%K -12.38%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-14 19:54
Marathon Bet2.23I 44.84%NM 41.78%EV -4.09%E -1.83%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.22%EV -8.82%E -5.51%K -14.69%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-14 19:54
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.32I 43.10%NM 42.29%1.70I 58.82%NM 57.71%1.9%2026-07-14 19:54