The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Houston Rockets v Brooklyn Nets

Kickoff: 2026-07-16 20:30 UTC

Final: Houston Rockets 100–83 Brooklyn Nets

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

21 sportsbooks (10 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Houston Rockets (Local)

Prediction 34.53%2.90fair odd
EV +5.65%
Edge +1.85%
Kelly +2.74%
Growth +0.155%

assuming max odds 3.06

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.46%34.62%34.73%38.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.432.792.733.0641.15%35.90%36.63%32.68%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Brooklyn Nets (Visit)

Prediction 65.47%1.53fair odd
EV +0.176%
Edge +0.115%
Kelly +0.332%
Growth +0.001%

assuming max odds 1.53

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
61.36%65.38%65.27%68.54%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.401.441.431.5371.43%69.38%69.93%65.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Houston Rockets (Local): 34.53%; Brooklyn Nets (Visit): 65.47%. For Houston Rockets (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.90. 7 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.06, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.65%.

Sportsbook Odds (21 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
LowVig.ag3.06I 32.68%NM 31.54%EV +5.65%E +1.85%K +2.74%G +0.155%1.41I 70.92%NM 68.46%EV -7.68%E -5.45%K -18.73%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-16 20:20
BetUS3.05I 32.79%NM 31.61%EV +5.30%E +1.74%K +2.59%G +0.137%1.41I 70.92%NM 68.39%EV -7.68%E -5.45%K -18.73%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-16 20:25
Caesars3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV +5.30%E +1.74%K +2.59%G +0.137%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -8.34%E -5.95%K -20.84%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-16 20:19
BetOnline.ag3.03I 33.00%NM 31.76%EV +4.61%E +1.52%K +2.27%G +0.105%1.41I 70.92%NM 68.24%EV -7.68%E -5.45%K -18.73%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-16 20:20
BetMGM3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV +3.58%E +1.19%K +1.79%G +0.064%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -8.34%E -5.95%K -20.84%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-16 20:20
Neds2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV +0.124%E +0.043%K +0.065%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -8.34%E -5.95%K -20.84%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-16 20:20
Ladbrokes (AU)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV +0.124%E +0.043%K +0.065%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -8.34%E -5.95%K -20.84%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-16 20:15
Bovada2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -1.60%E -0.562%K -0.866%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.72%E -3.97%K -12.99%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-16 20:20
Pinnacle2.83I 35.34%NM 33.57%EV -2.29%E -0.810%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.43%EV -6.37%E -4.46%K -14.82%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-16 20:20
SportsBet2.74I 36.50%NM 34.76%EV -5.40%E -1.97%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.24%EV -4.41%E -3.02%K -9.58%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-16 20:25
MyBookie.ag2.73I 36.63%NM 34.22%EV -5.75%E -2.10%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.78%EV -7.03%E -4.95%K -16.73%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-16 20:25
FanDuel2.72I 36.76%NM 35.08%EV -6.09%E -2.24%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.92%EV -3.75%E -2.55%K -7.98%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-16 20:15
Marathon Bet2.71I 36.90%NM 34.38%EV -6.44%E -2.37%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.62%EV -7.03%E -4.95%K -16.73%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-16 20:20
Fanatics2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -6.78%E -2.51%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.10%E -2.09%K -6.45%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-16 20:15
Hard Rock Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.78%E -2.51%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.06%E -3.49%K -11.25%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-16 20:25
Betr (AU)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -6.78%E -2.51%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -6.37%E -4.46%K -14.82%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-16 20:25
ReBet2.69I 37.17%NM 35.34%EV -7.13%E -2.65%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.66%EV -3.75%E -2.55%K -7.98%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-16 20:25
DraftKings2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -10.23%E -3.94%K -6.40%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -0.479%E -0.315%K -0.920%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-16 19:10
Fliff2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -10.23%E -3.94%K -6.40%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -5.72%E -3.97%K -12.99%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-16 20:25
theScore Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -13.69%E -5.47%K -9.12%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -3.10%E -2.09%K -6.45%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-16 19:55
BetRivers2.43I 41.15%NM 38.64%EV -16.10%E -6.63%K -11.26%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.36%EV +0.176%E +0.115%K +0.332%G +0.001%6.5%2026-07-16 20:25
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.94I 34.01%NM 33.78%1.50I 66.67%NM 66.22%0.7%2026-07-16 20:25
Novig3.13I 31.95%NM 31.51%1.44I 69.44%NM 68.49%1.4%2026-07-16 20:25
ProphetX2.94I 34.01%NM 33.33%1.47I 68.03%NM 66.67%2.0%2026-07-16 20:25