Golden State Warriors Gold v San Antonio Spurs

Kickoff: 2026-07-05 23:00 UTC

Final: Golden State Warriors Gold 98–69 San Antonio Spurs

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. See how the models score across every settled game →

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Head to Head

10 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

66%

34%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Golden State Warriors Gold (Local)

Prediction 65.93%1.52fair odd

EV -3.75%

Edge -2.57%

Kelly -8.15%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.46

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

65.38%66.06%65.73%67.44%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

1.411.431.441.4671%70%70%68%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

San Antonio Spurs (Visit)

Prediction 34.07%2.93fair odd

EV -0.505%

Edge -0.173%

Kelly -0.263%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.92

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

32.56%33.94%34.27%34.62%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

2.702.802.792.9237%36%36%34%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (10 sportsbooks)

Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
DraftKings	1.46I 68.49%NM 65.73%EV -3.75%E -2.57%K -8.15%G +0.000%	2.80I 35.71%NM 34.27%EV -4.59%E -1.64%K -2.55%G +0.000%	4.2%	2026-07-05 04:39
ReBet	1.45I 68.97%NM 65.72%EV -4.41%E -3.04%K -9.79%G +0.000%	2.78I 35.97%NM 34.28%EV -5.27%E -1.90%K -2.96%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-07-05 22:20
Fanatics	1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.07%E -3.52%K -11.51%G +0.000%	2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -2.89%E -1.01%K -1.56%G +0.000%	4.5%	2026-07-05 22:54
Bovada	1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.07%E -3.52%K -11.51%G +0.000%	2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -2.89%E -1.01%K -1.56%G +0.000%	4.5%	2026-07-05 13:19
Hard Rock Bet	1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.07%E -3.52%K -11.51%G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.30%E -2.29%K -3.60%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-07-05 08:20
theScore Bet	1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -5.73%E -4.00%K -13.32%G +0.000%	2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -8.00%E -2.96%K -4.71%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-07-05 22:20
FanDuel	1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -6.38%E -4.50%K -15.20%G +0.000%	2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -1.19%E -0.409%K -0.624%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-07-05 01:15
Betr (AU)	1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -6.38%E -4.50%K -15.20%G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -6.30%E -2.29%K -3.60%G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-07-05 11:10
Marathon Bet	1.42I 70.42%NM 65.62%EV -6.38%E -4.50%K -15.20%G +0.000%	2.71I 36.90%NM 34.38%EV -7.66%E -2.83%K -4.48%G +0.000%	7.3%	2026-07-05 21:00
SportsBet	1.41I 70.92%NM 67.44%EV -7.04%E -5.00%K -17.18%G +0.000%	2.92I 34.25%NM 32.56%EV -0.505%E -0.173%K -0.263%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-07-05 01:15

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.