The School of OddsLanguage:English
Golden State Warriors Gold v Miami Heat
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Golden State Warriors Gold (Local)
Prediction 63.53%1.57fair odd
EV +8.00%
Edge +4.71%
Kelly +11.44%
Growth +0.915%
assuming max odds 1.70
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
56.41%62.61%62.95%66.04%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.401.491.501.7071.43%66.96%66.67%58.82%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Miami Heat (Visit)
Prediction 36.47%2.74fair odd
EV +2.11%
Edge +0.753%
Kelly +1.17%
Growth +0.025%
assuming max odds 2.80
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.96%37.39%37.05%43.59%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.202.572.602.8045.45%38.94%38.46%35.71%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Sportsbook Odds (9 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV +8.00%E +4.71%K +11.44%G +0.915% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -19.77%E -8.99%K -16.48%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-07 02:00 |
| Fanatics | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -2.80%E -1.83%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -5.18%E -1.99%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-07-06 03:34 |
| ReBet | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.70%E -3.13%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.18%E -1.99%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-07 01:59 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.70%E -3.13%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.83%E -3.53%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-07 02:03 |
| theScore Bet | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -4.70%E -3.13%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -10.65%E -4.35%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-07 02:00 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -7.88%E -5.43%K -17.51%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -5.18%E -1.99%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-07 01:59 |
| BetRivers | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -8.51%E -5.91%K -19.35%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV +2.11%E +0.753%K +1.17%G +0.025% | 5.2% | 2026-07-07 01:59 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.62%EV -9.78%E -6.89%K -23.30%G +0.000% | 2.71I 36.90%NM 34.38%EV -1.17%E -0.433%K -0.686%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-07 01:59 |
| Fliff | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.43%EV -11.05%E -7.90%K -27.64%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.57%EV -3.36%E -1.27%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-07-07 02:05 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (1)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.37I 72.99%NM 63.85% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 36.15% | 14.3% | 2026-07-07 02:05 |