The School of Odds

Golden State Warriors Gold v Miami Heat

2026-07-07 02:00 — NBA Summer League

Head to Head

8 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Option 1: Golden State Warriors Gold (Local)

Odds
1.4270.42%Min
1.5066.67%Mean
1.5166.23%Median
1.5365.36%Max
Consensus probabilities
62.81%1.592Min
65.62%1.524Max
63.62%1.572Mean
63.03%1.587Median
63.03%1.587IQM
63.48%1.575Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 1.53 under the IQM model: 63.03%

EV -3.56%Edge -2.33%Kelly -6.72%Growth +0.000%

Option 2: Miami Heat (Visit)

Odds
2.5040.00%Min
2.6038.50%Mean
2.6038.46%Median
2.7136.90%Max
Consensus probabilities
34.38%2.908Min
37.19%2.689Max
36.38%2.749Mean
36.97%2.705Median
36.97%2.705IQM
36.52%2.738Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 2.71 under the IQM model: 36.97%

EV +0.188%Edge +0.069%Kelly +0.110%Growth +0.000%

Sportsbook Odds (8 sportsbooks)

BookmakerGolden State Warriors Gold (Local)Miami Heat (Visit) ▼MarginUpdated
Marathon Bet1.42I 70.42% NM 65.62%EV -10.50% E -7.39% K -24.99% G +0.000%2.71I 36.90% NM 34.38%EV +0.188% E +0.069% K +0.110% G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-06 04:35
Bovada1.51I 66.23% NM 63.70%EV -4.82% E -3.19% K -9.46% G +0.000%2.65I 37.74% NM 36.30%EV -2.03% E -0.766% K -1.23% G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-06 05:41
Fanatics1.53I 65.36% NM 62.95%EV -3.56% E -2.33% K -6.72% G +0.000%2.60I 38.46% NM 37.05%EV -3.88% E -1.49% K -2.42% G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-06 03:34
Hard Rock Bet1.53I 65.36% NM 62.95%EV -3.56% E -2.33% K -6.72% G +0.000%2.60I 38.46% NM 37.05%EV -3.88% E -1.49% K -2.42% G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-06 08:20
DraftKings1.52I 65.79% NM 63.11%EV -4.19% E -2.76% K -8.06% G +0.000%2.60I 38.46% NM 36.89%EV -3.88% E -1.49% K -2.42% G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-06 02:59
SportsBet1.51I 66.23% NM 63.08%EV -4.82% E -3.19% K -9.46% G +0.000%2.58I 38.76% NM 36.92%EV -4.62% E -1.79% K -2.92% G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-06 03:44
ReBet1.50I 66.67% NM 62.87%EV -5.45% E -3.64% K -10.91% G +0.000%2.54I 39.37% NM 37.13%EV -6.10% E -2.40% K -3.96% G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-06 03:35
theScore Bet1.48I 67.57% NM 62.81%EV -6.72% E -4.54% K -13.99% G +0.000%2.50I 40.00% NM 37.19%EV -7.58% E -3.03% K -5.05% G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-06 03:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerGolden State Warriors Gold (Local)Miami Heat (Visit)Margin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.01I 99.01%1.01I 99.01%98.0%2026-07-06 07:40