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Golden State Warriors v Oklahoma City Thunder
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Golden State Warriors (Local)
assuming max odds 1.39
Oklahoma City Thunder (Visit)
assuming max odds 3.50
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Golden State Warriors (Local): 71.15%; Oklahoma City Thunder (Visit): 28.85%. For Oklahoma City Thunder (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.47. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.960%.
Sportsbook Odds (15 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bovada | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%EV -5.36%E -4.03%K -16.26%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV +0.960%E +0.274%K +0.384%G +0.004% | 3.8% | 2026-07-12 21:48 |
| Fanatics | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -6.08%E -4.60%K -18.99%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -0.483%E -0.140%K -0.197%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-12 21:49 |
| Pinnacle | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.01%EV -6.79%E -5.18%K -21.90%G +0.000% | 3.37I 29.67%NM 27.99%EV -2.79%E -0.828%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-12 21:55 |
| DraftKings | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -3.94%E -2.92%K -11.26%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -4.81%E -1.46%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-12 21:44 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -6.79%E -5.18%K -21.90%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -4.81%E -1.46%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-12 22:04 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -7.50%E -5.77%K -25.00%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -4.81%E -1.46%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-12 21:29 |
| theScore Bet | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.90%EV -8.21%E -6.37%K -28.31%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -4.81%E -1.46%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-12 22:00 |
| ReBet | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.00%EV -4.65%E -3.47%K -13.69%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 29.00%EV -5.39%E -1.64%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-12 21:44 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -6.08%E -4.60%K -18.99%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -7.69%E -2.40%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-12 21:34 |
| Neds | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.23%E -2.38%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -10.58%E -3.41%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-12 12:39 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.23%E -2.38%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -10.58%E -3.41%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-12 12:39 |
| FanDuel | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -1.81%E -1.31%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -12.02%E -3.94%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-12 21:59 |
| BetRivers | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -3.23%E -2.38%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -12.02%E -3.94%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-12 15:59 |
| SportsBet | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.62%EV -1.10%E -0.788%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.04I 32.89%NM 31.38%EV -12.31%E -4.05%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-12 22:04 |
| Fliff | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.09%EV -6.08%E -4.60%K -18.99%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.91%EV -14.91%E -5.05%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-07-12 22:04 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (1)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.27I 78.74%NM 44.30% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 55.70% | 77.8% | 2026-07-12 22:05 |