Golden State Warriors v Oklahoma City Thunder

2026-07-12 22:00 UTC — NBA Summer League

Head to Head

6 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

71%

29%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Golden State Warriors (Local)

Prediction 70.73%1.41fair odd

EV -3.80%

Edge -2.80%

Kelly -10.56%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.36

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

69.98%70.76%70.73%72.09%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

1.321.341.331.3676%75%75%74%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Oklahoma City Thunder (Visit)

Prediction 29.27%3.42fair odd

EV -0.201%

Edge -0.059%

Kelly -0.083%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.41

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

27.91%29.24%29.27%30.02%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

3.103.263.273.4132%31%31%29%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (6 sportsbooks)

Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
DraftKings	1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -3.80%E -2.80%K -10.56%G +0.000%	3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -4.88%E -1.50%K -2.17%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-07-11 05:24
Fanatics	1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -4.51%E -3.34%K -12.89%G +0.000%	3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -3.42%E -1.04%K -1.49%G +0.000%	4.4%	2026-07-11 08:09
FanDuel	1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.92%E -4.45%K -17.95%G +0.000%	3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -1.96%E -0.584%K -0.833%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-07-11 05:49
theScore Bet	1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -5.92%E -4.45%K -17.95%G +0.000%	3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -9.27%E -2.99%K -4.42%G +0.000%	7.4%	2026-07-11 08:14
SportsBet	1.32I 75.76%NM 72.09%EV -6.63%E -5.02%K -20.73%G +0.000%	3.41I 29.33%NM 27.91%EV -0.201%E -0.059%K -0.083%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-07-11 05:44
ReBet	1.32I 75.76%NM 70.54%EV -6.63%E -5.02%K -20.73%G +0.000%	3.16I 31.65%NM 29.46%EV -7.52%E -2.38%K -3.48%G +0.000%	7.4%	2026-07-11 08:09

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

Bookmaker	Local	Visit	Margin ▲	Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)	1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%	1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%	98.0%	2026-07-11 07:34