The School of Odds

Golden State Warriors v Memphis Grizzlies

2026-07-14 23:00 UTC — NBA Summer League

Head to Head

5 sportsbooks (3 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Golden State Warriors (Local)

Prediction 59.58%1.68fair odd
EV -3.49%
Edge -2.15%
Kelly -5.62%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.62

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
59.43%59.58%59.60%59.70%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.571.591.601.6264%63%63%62%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Memphis Grizzlies (Visit)

Prediction 40.42%2.47fair odd
EV -2.98%
Edge -1.24%
Kelly -2.13%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.30%40.42%40.40%40.57%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.302.342.362.4043%43%42%42%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (5 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Fanatics1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -3.49%E -2.15%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -2.98%E -1.24%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-13 05:24
FanDuel1.60I 62.50%NM 59.60%EV -4.68%E -2.92%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.40%EV -4.60%E -1.95%K -3.38%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-13 05:23
SportsBet1.60I 62.50%NM 59.60%EV -4.68%E -2.92%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.40%EV -4.60%E -1.95%K -3.38%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-13 05:19
theScore Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.47%E -4.12%K -11.34%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -7.03%E -3.05%K -5.40%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-13 05:24
ReBet1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.47%E -4.12%K -11.34%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -7.03%E -3.05%K -5.40%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-13 05:30
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%98.0%2026-07-13 07:09