The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Detroit Pistons v Phoenix Suns

Kickoff: 2026-07-15 22:00 UTC

Final: Detroit Pistons 88–100 Phoenix Suns

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

20 sportsbooks (10 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Detroit Pistons (Local)

Prediction 46.77%2.14fair odd
EV +0.566%
Edge +0.263%
Kelly +0.492%
Growth +0.003%

assuming max odds 2.15

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.73%46.75%46.75%49.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.892.022.032.1552.91%49.42%49.26%46.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Phoenix Suns (Visit)

Prediction 53.23%1.88fair odd
EV +0.596%
Edge +0.315%
Kelly +0.669%
Growth +0.004%

assuming max odds 1.89

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.26%53.25%53.25%55.27%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.691.791.791.8959.17%55.90%56.02%52.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Detroit Pistons (Local): 46.77%; Phoenix Suns (Visit): 53.23%. For Phoenix Suns (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.88. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.89, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.596%.

Sportsbook Odds (20 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
FanDuel1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -9.72%E -5.04%K -10.46%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV +0.596%E +0.315%K +0.669%G +0.004%4.7%2026-07-15 21:55
SportsBet1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -10.66%E -5.58%K -11.71%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV +0.596%E +0.315%K +0.669%G +0.004%5.3%2026-07-15 21:55
MyBookie.ag1.89I 52.91%NM 49.47%EV -11.60%E -6.14%K -13.03%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.53%EV -1.53%E -0.829%K -1.80%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-15 21:40
Fanatics2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.45%E -3.23%K -6.45%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.60%E -1.42%K -3.13%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-15 21:55
DraftKings2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.11%E -2.01%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.19%E -2.33%K -5.24%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-15 21:54
Hard Rock Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.11%E -2.01%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.19%E -2.33%K -5.24%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-15 18:04
BetMGM2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.11%E -2.01%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.19%E -2.33%K -5.24%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-15 21:55
Caesars2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.11%E -2.01%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.19%E -2.33%K -5.24%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-15 21:54
ReBet2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -4.58%E -2.24%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -4.73%E -2.64%K -5.98%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-15 19:29
BetRivers1.97I 50.76%NM 47.61%EV -7.85%E -3.99%K -8.10%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.39%EV -4.73%E -2.64%K -5.98%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-15 21:25
Ladbrokes (AU)2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -5.51%E -2.73%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -5.26%E -2.95%K -6.74%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-15 21:55
Neds2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -5.51%E -2.73%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -5.26%E -2.95%K -6.74%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-15 21:55
Bovada2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -1.77%E -0.844%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.79%E -3.27%K -7.52%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-15 21:54
theScore Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.45%E -3.23%K -6.45%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.79%E -3.27%K -7.52%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-15 18:04
Betr (AU)1.98I 50.51%NM 47.20%EV -7.39%E -3.73%K -7.54%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.80%EV -5.79%E -3.27%K -7.52%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-15 21:55
Pinnacle2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -2.71%E -1.30%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -6.32%E -3.59%K -8.32%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-15 21:55
BetOnline.ag2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV +0.566%E +0.263%K +0.492%G +0.003%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -7.39%E -4.25%K -9.98%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-15 21:55
LowVig.ag2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV +0.566%E +0.263%K +0.492%G +0.003%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -7.39%E -4.25%K -9.98%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-15 21:55
Fliff1.95I 51.28%NM 47.15%EV -8.79%E -4.51%K -9.25%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 52.85%EV -7.39%E -4.25%K -9.98%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-15 21:55
Marathon Bet2.08I 48.08%NM 44.83%EV -2.71%E -1.30%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.17%EV -10.05%E -5.95%K -14.56%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-15 21:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig2.11I 47.39%NM 47.25%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.75%0.3%2026-07-15 21:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.14I 46.73%NM 45.96%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.04%1.7%2026-07-15 21:55
ProphetX2.11I 47.39%NM 46.45%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.55%2.0%2026-07-15 21:55