The School of Odds

Detroit Pistons v Cleveland Cavaliers

2026-07-12 20:00 UTC — NBA Summer League

Head to Head

6 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Detroit Pistons (Local)

Prediction 48.94%2.04fair odd
EV +0.330%
Edge +0.161%
Kelly +0.315%
Growth +0.001%

assuming max odds 2.05

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.75%49.15%48.94%52.23%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.821.911.922.0555%52%52%49%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Cleveland Cavaliers (Visit)

Prediction 51.06%1.96fair odd
EV +1.61%
Edge +0.807%
Kelly +1.62%
Growth +0.026%

assuming max odds 1.99

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.77%50.85%51.06%53.25%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.801.881.851.9956%53%54%50%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (6 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
SportsBet1.82I 54.95%NM 52.23%EV -10.93%E -6.00%K -13.32%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 47.77%EV +1.61%E +0.807%K +1.62%G +0.026%5.2%2026-07-11 05:44
FanDuel1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -10.44%E -5.70%K -12.57%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV +1.10%E +0.553%K +1.12%G +0.012%5.1%2026-07-11 05:49
Fanatics1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.56%E -2.34%K -4.80%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.52%E -2.42%K -5.20%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-11 05:47
theScore Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.52%E -3.41%K -7.17%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.56%E -3.59%K -7.91%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-11 05:49
ReBet1.92I 52.08%NM 48.66%EV -6.03%E -3.14%K -6.56%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.34%EV -7.07%E -3.89%K -8.63%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-11 06:19
DraftKings2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV +0.330%E +0.161%K +0.315%G +0.001%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -8.10%E -4.50%K -10.12%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-11 05:28
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%98.0%2026-07-11 07:19
Arbitrage (2 combinations) +0.98%DraftKings 2.05 (49.3%) / SportsBet 1.99 (50.7%)Show all 2 combinations
Detroit Pistons (Local)Cleveland Cavaliers (Visit)Margin
DraftKings 2.05 (49.3%)SportsBet 1.99 (50.7%)+0.978%
DraftKings 2.05 (49.1%)FanDuel 1.98 (50.9%)+0.720%