The School of Odds

Denver Nuggets v Portland Trail Blazers

2026-07-17 02:00 UTC — NBA Summer League

Head to Head

6 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Denver Nuggets (Local)

Prediction 55.19%1.81fair odd
EV -2.31%
Edge -1.30%
Kelly -3.00%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.77

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.79%55.15%55.19%56.41%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.691.731.731.7759%58%58%56%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Portland Trail Blazers (Visit)

Prediction 44.81%2.23fair odd
EV -1.43%
Edge -0.649%
Kelly -1.19%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.59%44.85%44.81%46.21%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.062.112.092.2049%47%48%45%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (6 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
FanDuel1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -2.31%E -1.30%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -7.70%E -3.74%K -7.26%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-15 04:25
SportsBet1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -2.31%E -1.30%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -7.70%E -3.74%K -7.26%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-15 04:24
Fanatics1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.96%E -2.28%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.67%E -1.71%K -3.19%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-15 04:59
theScore Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.62%E -3.29%K -7.91%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.91%E -2.81%K -5.37%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-15 05:04
DraftKings1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -6.17%E -3.63%K -8.81%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -1.43%E -0.649%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-15 04:59
ReBet1.69I 59.17%NM 55.29%EV -6.72%E -3.98%K -9.74%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 44.71%EV -6.36%E -3.04%K -5.83%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-15 05:05
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%98.0%2026-07-15 07:14