Denver Nuggets v Houston Rockets

2026-07-10 22:30 — NBA Summer League

Head to Head

6 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

50%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Denver Nuggets (Local)

Prediction 50.00%2.00fair odd

EV +0.000%

Edge +0.000%

Kelly +0.000%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

47.64%49.84%50.00%51.70%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

1.851.921.892.00MINMEANMEDIANMAX

All estimators

Consensus probabilities

47.64%2.099Min

51.70%1.934Max

49.84%2.007Mean

50.00%2.000Median

50.00%2.000IQM

49.86%2.006Margin-weighted

Houston Rockets (Visit)

Prediction 50.00%2.00fair odd

EV -1.00%

Edge -0.505%

Kelly -1.02%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.98

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

48.30%50.16%50.00%52.36%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

1.821.881.871.98MINMEANMEDIANMAX

All estimators

Consensus probabilities

48.30%2.070Min

52.36%1.910Max

50.16%1.993Mean

50.00%2.000Median

50.00%2.000IQM

50.14%1.994Margin-weighted

Sportsbook Odds (6 sportsbooks)

Bookmaker	Denver Nuggets (Local) ▼	Houston Rockets (Visit)	Margin	Updated
FanDuel	2.00I 50.00% NM 47.64%EV +0.000% E +0.000% K +0.000% G +0.000%	1.82I 54.95% NM 52.36%EV -9.00% E -4.95% K -10.98% G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-07-09 03:10
SportsBet	1.99I 50.25% NM 47.77%EV -0.500% E -0.251% K -0.505% G +0.000%	1.82I 54.95% NM 52.23%EV -9.00% E -4.95% K -10.98% G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-07-09 03:10
Fanatics	1.91I 52.36% NM 50.00%EV -4.50% E -2.36% K -4.95% G +0.000%	1.91I 52.36% NM 50.00%EV -4.50% E -2.36% K -4.95% G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-07-09 03:24
ReBet	1.87I 53.48% NM 50.00%EV -6.50% E -3.48% K -7.47% G +0.000%	1.87I 53.48% NM 50.00%EV -6.50% E -3.48% K -7.47% G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-07-09 04:24
theScore Bet	1.87I 53.48% NM 50.00%EV -6.50% E -3.48% K -7.47% G +0.000%	1.87I 53.48% NM 50.00%EV -6.50% E -3.48% K -7.47% G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-07-09 03:25
DraftKings	1.85I 54.05% NM 51.70%EV -7.50% E -4.05% K -8.82% G +0.000%	1.98I 50.51% NM 48.30%EV -1.00% E -0.505% K -1.02% G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-07-09 03:25

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Exchanges (1)

Bookmaker	Denver Nuggets (Local)	Houston Rockets (Visit)	Margin ▲	Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)	1.01I 99.01% NM 50.00%	1.01I 99.01% NM 50.00%	98.0%	2026-07-09 07:15