The School of Odds

Dallas Mavericks v Los Angeles Lakers

2026-07-12 02:00 UTC — NBA Summer League

Head to Head

6 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Dallas Mavericks (Local)

Prediction 51.06%1.96fair odd
EV -2.48%
Edge -1.30%
Kelly -2.72%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.91

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.00%51.67%51.06%54.69%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.741.821.831.9157%55%54%52%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Los Angeles Lakers (Visit)

Prediction 48.94%2.04fair odd
EV +2.78%
Edge +1.32%
Kelly +2.53%
Growth +0.070%

assuming max odds 2.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.31%48.33%48.94%50.00%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.891.981.932.1053%51%52%48%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (6 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
FanDuel1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -10.65%E -6.08%K -14.20%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV +2.78%E +1.32%K +2.53%G +0.070%4.8%2026-07-10 05:45
SportsBet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -11.16%E -6.41%K -15.08%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV +2.78%E +1.32%K +2.53%G +0.070%5.1%2026-07-10 05:45
Fanatics1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.52%E -2.42%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.56%E -2.34%K -4.80%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-10 05:20
DraftKings1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.48%E -1.30%K -2.72%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.52%E -3.41%K -7.17%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-10 05:20
theScore Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.56%E -3.59%K -7.91%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.52%E -3.41%K -7.17%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-10 05:20
ReBet1.84I 54.35%NM 50.67%EV -6.05%E -3.29%K -7.21%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.33%EV -7.50%E -3.97%K -8.43%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-10 05:19
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is the most recent time we recorded each book's price — on the default model, when it last changed, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Arbitrage (2 combinations) +0.02%DraftKings 1.91 (52.4%) / FanDuel 2.10 (47.6%)Show all 2 combinations
Dallas Mavericks (Local)Los Angeles Lakers (Visit)Margin
DraftKings 1.91 (52.4%)FanDuel 2.10 (47.6%)+0.025%
DraftKings 1.91 (52.4%)SportsBet 2.10 (47.6%)+0.025%