The School of Odds

Cleveland Cavaliers v Miami Heat

2026-07-14 00:00 UTC — NBA Summer League

Head to Head

5 sportsbooks (3 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Cleveland Cavaliers (Local)

Prediction 50.97%1.96fair odd
EV -4.18%
Edge -2.22%
Kelly -4.75%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.88

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.79%50.97%51.05%51.07%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.831.861.871.8855%54%53%53%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Miami Heat (Visit)

Prediction 49.03%2.04fair odd
EV -4.39%
Edge -2.25%
Kelly -4.62%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.95

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.93%49.03%48.95%49.21%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.911.931.931.9552%52%52%51%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (5 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
FanDuel1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -4.18%E -2.22%K -4.75%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -4.88%E -2.51%K -5.19%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-12 05:14
Fanatics1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.69%E -2.51%K -5.39%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.39%E -2.25%K -4.62%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-12 05:20
SportsBet1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -4.69%E -2.51%K -5.39%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -5.37%E -2.78%K -5.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-12 05:14
ReBet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.73%E -3.68%K -8.11%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.35%E -3.32%K -6.98%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-12 07:54
theScore Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.73%E -3.68%K -8.11%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.35%E -3.32%K -6.98%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-12 05:19
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%98.0%2026-07-12 07:19