The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

Cleveland Cavaliers v Chicago Bulls

Kickoff: 2026-07-17 23:00 UTC

Final: Cleveland Cavaliers 100–91 Chicago Bulls

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

21 sportsbooks (10 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Cleveland Cavaliers (Local)

Prediction 61.50%1.63fair odd
EV -0.988%
Edge -0.614%
Kelly -1.62%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.61

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
59.49%61.81%61.21%64.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.471.551.561.6168.03%64.62%64.10%62.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Chicago Bulls (Visit)

Prediction 38.50%2.60fair odd
EV +4.73%
Edge +1.74%
Kelly +2.75%
Growth +0.130%

assuming max odds 2.72

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.08%38.19%38.79%40.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.322.482.452.7243.10%40.25%40.82%36.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Cleveland Cavaliers (Local): 61.50%; Chicago Bulls (Visit): 38.50%. For Chicago Bulls (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.60. 6 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.72, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.73%.

Sportsbook Odds (21 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
FanDuel🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.92%EV -9.60%E -6.53%K -20.42%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 35.08%EV +4.73%E +1.74%K +2.75%G +0.130%4.8%2026-07-17 22:44
SportsBet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.83%EV -9.60%E -6.53%K -20.42%G +0.000%2.71I 36.90%NM 35.17%EV +4.34%E +1.60%K +2.54%G +0.110%4.9%2026-07-17 22:54
DraftKings🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -8.37%E -5.62%K -17.08%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV +3.96%E +1.46%K +2.33%G +0.092%4.2%2026-07-17 21:49
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -7.75%E -5.17%K -15.51%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV +2.03%E +0.766%K +1.23%G +0.025%4.4%2026-07-17 22:39
ReBet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.92%EV -8.37%E -5.62%K -17.08%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.08%EV +1.65%E +0.623%K +1.00%G +0.017%5.0%2026-07-17 22:54
theScore Bet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -9.60%E -6.53%K -20.42%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV +0.105%E +0.040%K +0.066%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-17 22:39
Fanatics🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.89%EV -3.45%E -2.20%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 38.11%EV -1.82%E -0.714%K -1.17%G +0.000%2.9%2026-07-17 22:54
BetOnline.ag🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -0.988%E -0.614%K -1.62%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -5.67%E -2.31%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.9%2026-07-17 22:54
LowVig.ag🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -0.988%E -0.614%K -1.62%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -5.67%E -2.31%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.9%2026-07-17 22:54
Bovada🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -2.22%E -1.40%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -5.67%E -2.31%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-17 22:54
Pinnacle🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.06%E -2.60%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -5.67%E -2.31%K -3.91%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-17 22:45
Caesars🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.45%EV -2.22%E -1.40%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.55%EV -6.44%E -2.65%K -4.50%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-17 22:54
BetUS🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 60.05%EV -0.988%E -0.614%K -1.62%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.95%EV -6.83%E -2.82%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-17 22:54
Marathon Bet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.32%EV -6.52%E -4.29%K -12.54%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 38.68%EV -7.21%E -2.99%K -5.11%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-17 22:55
BetMGM🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -2.22%E -1.40%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -7.60%E -3.16%K -5.43%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-17 22:49
Betr (AU)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -6.52%E -4.29%K -12.54%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -7.60%E -3.16%K -5.43%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-17 22:54
Fliff🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.38%EV -7.14%E -4.73%K -14.00%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.62%EV -7.60%E -3.16%K -5.43%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-17 22:54
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -1.60%E -1.00%K -2.67%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -9.52%E -4.05%K -7.05%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-17 22:54
Neds🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -1.60%E -1.00%K -2.67%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -9.52%E -4.05%K -7.05%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-17 22:49
MyBookie.ag🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.90%EV -4.06%E -2.60%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.10%EV -10.29%E -4.42%K -7.74%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-17 22:54
BetRivers🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.64%EV -3.45%E -2.20%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.36%EV -10.68%E -4.60%K -8.09%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-17 19:54
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
ProphetX◎1.60I 62.50%NM 61.72%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.28%1.3%2026-07-17 22:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.62I 61.73%NM 60.68%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.32%1.7%2026-07-17 22:54
Novig◎1.60I 62.50%NM 61.26%2.53I 39.53%NM 38.74%2.0%2026-07-17 22:54