The School of Odds

Cleveland Cavaliers v Chicago Bulls

2026-07-17 23:00 UTC — NBA Summer League

Head to Head

7 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Cleveland Cavaliers (Local)

Prediction 53.25%1.88fair odd
EV -4.16%
Edge -2.31%
Kelly -5.19%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.80%53.24%53.25%53.40%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.771.791.781.8056%56%56%56%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Chicago Bulls (Visit)

Prediction 46.75%2.14fair odd
EV -4.16%
Edge -2.03%
Kelly -3.96%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.05

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.60%46.76%46.75%47.20%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.982.032.042.0551%49%49%49%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (7 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Fanatics1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.16%E -2.31%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.16%E -2.03%K -3.96%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-16 06:20
Hard Rock Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.16%E -2.31%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.16%E -2.03%K -3.96%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-16 08:50
DraftKings1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.16%E -2.31%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.16%E -2.03%K -3.96%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-16 08:55
FanDuel1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -5.22%E -2.93%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -4.62%E -2.27%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-16 06:15
SportsBet1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -5.22%E -2.93%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -4.62%E -2.27%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-16 06:19
theScore Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.75%E -3.25%K -7.47%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.49%E -3.25%K -6.49%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-16 06:20
ReBet1.77I 56.50%NM 52.80%EV -5.75%E -3.25%K -7.47%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.20%EV -7.43%E -3.75%K -7.58%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-16 09:15
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (2)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%7.5%2026-07-16 11:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%98.0%2026-07-16 07:10