The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

Chicago Bulls v Washington Wizards

Kickoff: 2026-07-15 00:00 UTC

Final: Chicago Bulls 99–87 Washington Wizards

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

16 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Chicago Bulls (Local)

Prediction 56.56%1.77fair odd
EV -0.454%
Edge -0.258%
Kelly -0.597%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.76

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.44%56.34%56.37%57.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.631.691.681.7661.35%59.22%59.52%56.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Washington Wizards (Visit)

Prediction 43.44%2.30fair odd
EV -0.089%
Edge -0.039%
Kelly -0.068%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.07%43.66%43.63%46.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.182.192.3050.00%45.96%45.66%43.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Chicago Bulls (Local): 56.56%; Washington Wizards (Visit): 43.44%. For Washington Wizards (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.302. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.300, with an expected value of -0.089%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (16 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetRivers1.76I 56.82%NM 53.44%EV -0.454%E -0.258%K -0.597%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.56%EV -12.25%E -6.07%K -12.01%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-14 23:09
Fanatics1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -1.58%E -0.911%K -2.14%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -6.60%E -3.07%K -5.74%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-14 23:49
Fliff1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -1.58%E -0.911%K -2.14%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -13.12%E -6.56%K -13.12%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-14 23:54
Hard Rock Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.28%E -1.92%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.43%E -2.01%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-14 23:54
Bovada1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.28%E -1.92%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.43%E -2.01%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-14 23:54
DraftKings1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.85%E -2.26%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.43%E -2.01%K -3.69%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-14 23:44
ReBet1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -3.85%E -2.26%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -5.74%E -2.64%K -4.90%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-14 23:50
Pinnacle1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -4.41%E -2.61%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -5.30%E -2.43%K -4.49%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-14 23:45
BetOnline.ag1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -5.54%E -3.32%K -8.27%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -0.089%E -0.039%K -0.068%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-14 23:49
Neds1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.54%E -3.32%K -8.27%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.43%E -2.01%K -3.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-14 23:40
Ladbrokes (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.54%E -3.32%K -8.27%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.43%E -2.01%K -3.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-14 23:40
theScore Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.54%E -3.32%K -8.27%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.60%E -3.07%K -5.74%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-14 23:10
Betr (AU)1.66I 60.24%NM 56.43%EV -6.11%E -3.68%K -9.26%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.57%EV -6.60%E -3.07%K -5.74%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-14 23:50
FanDuel1.65I 60.61%NM 57.80%EV -6.68%E -4.05%K -10.27%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.20%EV -1.83%E -0.808%K -1.45%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-14 23:55
SportsBet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.68%E -4.05%K -10.27%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -2.26%E -1.00%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-14 23:54
Marathon Bet1.63I 61.35%NM 57.22%EV -7.81%E -4.79%K -12.39%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.78%EV -5.30%E -2.43%K -4.49%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-14 23:49
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.66I 60.24%NM 59.51%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.49%1.2%2026-07-14 23:55