The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Chicago Bulls v Los Angeles Lakers

Kickoff: 2026-07-16 22:00 UTC

Final: Chicago Bulls 82–105 Los Angeles Lakers

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

21 sportsbooks (10 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Chicago Bulls (Local)

Prediction 40.72%2.46fair odd
EV +1.81%
Edge +0.724%
Kelly +1.21%
Growth +0.022%

assuming max odds 2.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.12%40.64%40.64%42.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.272.352.342.5044.05%42.52%42.74%40.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Los Angeles Lakers (Visit)

Prediction 59.28%1.69fair odd
EV -1.01%
Edge -0.604%
Kelly -1.51%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.67

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
57.83%59.36%59.36%61.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.531.601.601.6765.36%62.52%62.50%59.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Chicago Bulls (Local): 40.72%; Los Angeles Lakers (Visit): 59.28%. For Chicago Bulls (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.46. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.81%.

Sportsbook Odds (21 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Bovada2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV +1.81%E +0.724%K +1.21%G +0.022%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -6.94%E -4.42%K -12.17%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-16 21:55
BetMGM2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV +1.81%E +0.724%K +1.21%G +0.022%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -8.71%E -5.66%K -16.14%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-16 20:30
Neds2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -0.226%E -0.092%K -0.156%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -8.12%E -5.24%K -14.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-16 20:25
Ladbrokes (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -0.226%E -0.092%K -0.156%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -8.12%E -5.24%K -14.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-16 20:25
Caesars2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -2.26%E -0.943%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.57%E -2.84%K -7.48%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-16 21:19
DraftKings2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -3.89%E -1.65%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -3.97%E -2.45%K -6.41%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-16 21:05
Hard Rock Bet2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.30%E -1.83%K -3.18%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.97%E -2.45%K -6.41%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-16 21:05
Pinnacle2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.30%E -1.83%K -3.18%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.16%E -3.22%K -8.60%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-16 21:35
Fliff2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -4.30%E -1.83%K -3.18%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -9.31%E -6.08%K -17.56%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-16 21:00
FanDuel2.34I 42.74%NM 40.76%EV -4.71%E -2.01%K -3.51%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.24%EV -4.57%E -2.84%K -7.48%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-16 21:55
ReBet2.34I 42.74%NM 40.76%EV -4.71%E -2.01%K -3.51%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.24%EV -4.57%E -2.84%K -7.48%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-16 21:45
BetOnline.ag2.32I 43.10%NM 41.71%EV -5.52%E -2.38%K -4.18%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 58.29%EV -1.60%E -0.965%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.3%2026-07-16 21:35
LowVig.ag2.32I 43.10%NM 41.71%EV -5.52%E -2.38%K -4.18%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 58.29%EV -1.60%E -0.965%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.3%2026-07-16 21:40
SportsBet2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -5.52%E -2.38%K -4.18%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -4.57%E -2.84%K -7.48%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-16 21:55
Fanatics2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -6.34%E -2.75%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -1.01%E -0.604%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-16 21:50
Betr (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -6.34%E -2.75%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -6.34%E -4.02%K -10.94%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-16 21:25
theScore Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.34%E -2.75%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.94%E -4.42%K -12.17%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-16 21:40
Marathon Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.34%E -2.75%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.94%E -4.42%K -12.17%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-16 21:50
BetUS2.29I 43.67%NM 42.17%EV -6.74%E -2.94%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.83%EV -1.01%E -0.604%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.5%2026-07-16 21:35
BetRivers2.28I 43.86%NM 41.24%EV -7.15%E -3.14%K -5.59%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.76%EV -5.16%E -3.22%K -8.60%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-16 20:30
MyBookie.ag2.27I 44.05%NM 41.19%EV -7.56%E -3.33%K -5.95%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 58.81%EV -5.75%E -3.62%K -9.75%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-16 21:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.48I 40.32%NM 39.95%1.65I 60.61%NM 60.05%0.9%2026-07-16 21:55
Novig2.47I 40.49%NM 39.90%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.10%1.5%2026-07-16 21:55
ProphetX2.42I 41.32%NM 40.69%1.66I 60.24%NM 59.31%1.6%2026-07-16 21:50