The School of Odds

Charlotte Hornets v Sacramento Kings

2026-07-17 22:30 UTC — NBA Summer League

Head to Head

7 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Charlotte Hornets (Local)

Prediction 47.30%2.11fair odd
EV -3.04%
Edge -1.48%
Kelly -2.90%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.05

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.75%47.28%47.30%47.78%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.972.002.002.0551%50%50%49%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sacramento Kings (Visit)

Prediction 52.70%1.90fair odd
EV -3.55%
Edge -1.94%
Kelly -4.28%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.83

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.22%52.72%52.70%53.25%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.771.801.801.8356%55%56%55%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (7 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
DraftKings2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.04%E -1.48%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.13%E -2.85%K -6.42%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-16 08:55
SportsBet2.01I 49.75%NM 47.24%EV -4.93%E -2.45%K -4.88%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.76%EV -5.13%E -2.85%K -6.42%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-16 06:19
Fanatics2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.41%E -2.70%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.55%E -1.94%K -4.28%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-16 06:20
Hard Rock Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.41%E -2.70%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.55%E -1.94%K -4.28%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-16 08:50
FanDuel2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -5.41%E -2.70%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.08%E -2.24%K -4.98%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-16 06:15
theScore Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -5.41%E -2.70%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.72%E -3.79%K -8.72%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-16 06:20
ReBet1.97I 50.76%NM 47.33%EV -6.83%E -3.46%K -7.04%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.67%EV -6.72%E -3.79%K -8.72%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-16 06:20
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (2)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig1.98I 50.51%NM 47.48%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.52%6.4%2026-07-16 12:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%98.0%2026-07-16 07:25