Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Charlotte Hornets v Sacramento Kings

Kickoff: 2026-07-17 22:30 UTC

Final: Charlotte Hornets 90–92 Sacramento Kings

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

21 sportsbooks (10 in analysis )

57%

43%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Charlotte Hornets (Local)

Prediction 56.91%1.76fair odd

EV -2.69%

Edge -1.57%

Kelly -3.78%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.71

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

54.64%57.03%56.70%60.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.591.671.681.7162.89%59.73%59.52%58.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Sacramento Kings (Visit)

Prediction 43.09%2.32fair odd

EV +5.57%

Edge +2.28%

Kelly +3.84%

Growth +0.214%

assuming max odds 2.45

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

39.36%42.97%43.30%45.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

2.062.212.182.4548.54%45.31%45.87%40.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Charlotte Hornets (Local): 56.91%; Sacramento Kings (Visit): 43.09%. For Sacramento Kings (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.32. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.45, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.57%.

Sportsbook Odds (21 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local	Visit ▼	Margin	Updated
Bovada🎯	1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -9.52%E -5.98%K -16.13%G +0.000%	2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV +5.57%E +2.28%K +3.84%G +0.214%	3.7%	2026-07-17 22:24
Caesars🎯	1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -8.38%E -5.20%K -13.73%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV +3.42%E +1.42%K +2.44%G +0.084%	3.8%	2026-07-17 22:24
BetOnline.ag🎯	1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -4.96%E -2.97%K -7.41%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -0.890%E -0.387%K -0.684%G +0.000%	3.4%	2026-07-17 22:24
LowVig.ag🎯	1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -4.96%E -2.97%K -7.41%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -0.890%E -0.387%K -0.684%G +0.000%	3.4%	2026-07-17 22:24
BetUS🎯	1.67I 59.88%NM 57.83%EV -4.96%E -2.97%K -7.41%G +0.000%	2.29I 43.67%NM 42.17%EV -1.32%E -0.577%K -1.02%G +0.000%	3.5%	2026-07-17 22:24
BetRivers🎯	1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -7.81%E -4.82%K -12.59%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -3.04%E -1.35%K -2.44%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-07-17 22:14
DraftKings🎯	1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -4.39%E -2.62%K -6.46%G +0.000%	2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -3.48%E -1.55%K -2.80%G +0.000%	4.2%	2026-07-17 22:24
Marathon Bet🎯	1.61I 62.11%NM 57.96%EV -8.38%E -5.20%K -13.73%G +0.000%	2.22I 45.05%NM 42.04%EV -4.34%E -1.95%K -3.55%G +0.000%	7.2%	2026-07-17 22:24
Fanatics🎯	1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -2.69%E -1.57%K -3.78%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -5.20%E -2.36%K -4.33%G +0.000%	3.9%	2026-07-17 22:19
Hard Rock Bet🎯	1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -2.69%E -1.57%K -3.78%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -5.20%E -2.36%K -4.33%G +0.000%	3.9%	2026-07-17 22:24
Pinnacle🎯	1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -3.26%E -1.92%K -4.65%G +0.000%	2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -6.06%E -2.78%K -5.14%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-07-17 22:14
FanDuel🎯	1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -3.26%E -1.92%K -4.65%G +0.000%	2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -6.92%E -3.20%K -5.97%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-07-17 22:19
SportsBet🎯	1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -2.69%E -1.57%K -3.78%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -7.35%E -3.42%K -6.39%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-07-17 22:24
ReBet🎯	1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -2.69%E -1.57%K -3.78%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -7.35%E -3.42%K -6.39%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-07-17 22:24
BetMGM🎯	1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -2.69%E -1.57%K -3.78%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -7.35%E -3.42%K -6.39%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-07-17 20:49
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯	1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -4.39%E -2.62%K -6.46%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -7.35%E -3.42%K -6.39%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-07-17 22:24
Neds🎯	1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -4.39%E -2.62%K -6.46%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -7.35%E -3.42%K -6.39%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-07-17 22:24
Betr (AU)🎯	1.66I 60.24%NM 56.43%EV -5.53%E -3.33%K -8.38%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 43.57%EV -7.35%E -3.42%K -6.39%G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-07-17 22:24
theScore Bet🎯	1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -2.69%E -1.57%K -3.78%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -9.51%E -4.53%K -8.64%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-07-17 22:24
Fliff🎯	1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -6.10%E -3.70%K -9.39%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -9.51%E -4.53%K -8.64%G +0.000%	8.2%	2026-07-17 22:24
MyBookie.ag🎯	1.71I 58.48%NM 54.64%EV -2.69%E -1.57%K -3.78%G +0.000%	2.06I 48.54%NM 45.36%EV -11.23%E -5.45%K -10.60%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-07-17 22:24

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

Bookmaker	Local	Visit	Margin ▲	Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎	1.67I 59.88%NM 59.17%	2.42I 41.32%NM 40.83%	1.2%	2026-07-17 22:25
ProphetX◎	1.67I 59.88%NM 59.17%	2.42I 41.32%NM 40.83%	1.2%	2026-07-17 22:24
Novig◎	1.67I 59.88%NM 58.77%	2.38I 42.02%NM 41.23%	1.9%	2026-07-17 22:24