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Charlotte Hornets v New Orleans Pelicans
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Charlotte Hornets (Local)
Prediction 69.92%1.43fair odd
EV -2.11%
Edge -1.51%
Kelly -5.27%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
67.44%69.87%70.02%71.12%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.331.361.351.4075.19%73.68%73.80%71.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
New Orleans Pelicans (Visit)
Prediction 30.08%3.32fair odd
EV -0.745%
Edge -0.226%
Kelly -0.324%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.30
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.88%30.13%29.98%32.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.903.143.173.3034.48%31.88%31.50%30.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Sportsbook Odds (14 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Neds | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -2.11%E -1.51%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -12.78%E -4.41%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-10 16:34 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -2.11%E -1.51%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -12.78%E -4.41%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-10 16:34 |
| DraftKings | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02%EV -4.21%E -3.07%K -11.37%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98%EV -3.75%E -1.17%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-11 15:54 |
| Pinnacle | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.28%EV -4.21%E -3.07%K -11.37%G +0.000% | 3.09I 32.36%NM 30.72%EV -7.06%E -2.29%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-11 19:20 |
| Bovada | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -4.91%E -3.61%K -13.63%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -2.25%E -0.692%K -0.999%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-11 19:44 |
| FanDuel | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.91%E -3.61%K -13.63%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -3.75%E -1.17%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-11 18:50 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.52%EV -4.91%E -3.61%K -13.63%G +0.000% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 31.48%EV -10.97%E -3.71%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-11 19:49 |
| Fanatics | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -5.60%E -4.15%K -16.01%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -0.745%E -0.226%K -0.324%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-11 16:59 |
| SportsBet | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.39%EV -5.60%E -4.15%K -16.01%G +0.000% | 3.21I 31.15%NM 29.61%EV -3.45%E -1.08%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-11 19:50 |
| ReBet | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -6.30%E -4.70%K -18.54%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -0.745%E -0.226%K -0.324%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-11 17:00 |
| BetRivers | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.16%EV -6.30%E -4.70%K -18.54%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -5.26%E -1.67%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-11 16:59 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -6.30%E -4.70%K -18.54%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -6.76%E -2.18%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-11 19:49 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -7.00%E -5.27%K -21.22%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -2.25%E -0.692%K -0.999%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-11 16:45 |
| theScore Bet | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -7.00%E -5.27%K -21.22%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -6.76%E -2.18%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-11 16:44 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (1)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.41I 70.92%NM 69.74% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.26% | 1.7% | 2026-07-11 17:59 |