The School of Odds
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Charlotte Hornets v Milwaukee Bucks

Kickoff: 2026-07-15 23:30 UTC

Final: Charlotte Hornets 91–110 Milwaukee Bucks

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

21 sportsbooks (10 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Charlotte Hornets (Local)

Prediction 62.85%1.59fair odd
EV -1.32%
Edge -0.842%
Kelly -2.32%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.57

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
60.45%62.96%62.95%66.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.411.521.531.5770.92%65.87%65.36%63.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Milwaukee Bucks (Visit)

Prediction 37.15%2.69fair odd
EV +2.16%
Edge +0.784%
Kelly +1.23%
Growth +0.027%

assuming max odds 2.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.89%37.04%37.05%39.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.402.562.552.7541.67%39.14%39.22%36.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Charlotte Hornets (Local): 62.85%; Milwaukee Bucks (Visit): 37.15%. For Milwaukee Bucks (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.69. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.75, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.16%.

Sportsbook Odds (21 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Marathon Bet1.41I 70.92%NM 66.11%EV -11.38%E -8.07%K -27.75%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.89%EV +2.16%E +0.784%K +1.23%G +0.027%7.3%2026-07-15 23:10
BetOnline.ag1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -3.84%E -2.51%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV -1.56%E -0.589%K -0.945%G +0.000%3.1%2026-07-15 23:05
LowVig.ag1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -3.84%E -2.51%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV -1.56%E -0.589%K -0.945%G +0.000%3.1%2026-07-15 23:05
Bovada1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -5.09%E -3.37%K -9.99%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -1.56%E -0.589%K -0.945%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-15 22:40
BetUS1.53I 65.36%NM 63.22%EV -3.84%E -2.51%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.78%EV -2.30%E -0.876%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-15 23:10
Hard Rock Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.84%E -2.51%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -3.42%E -1.31%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-15 23:15
DraftKings1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -4.46%E -2.94%K -8.58%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -3.42%E -1.31%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-15 23:24
Caesars1.53I 65.36%NM 62.77%EV -3.84%E -2.51%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.23%EV -4.16%E -1.61%K -2.63%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-15 22:50
Pinnacle1.51I 66.23%NM 63.08%EV -5.09%E -3.37%K -9.99%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.92%EV -4.16%E -1.61%K -2.63%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-15 22:55
ReBet1.51I 66.23%NM 62.90%EV -5.09%E -3.37%K -9.99%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.10%EV -4.90%E -1.92%K -3.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-15 23:25
Fanatics1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -1.95%E -1.25%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -5.27%E -2.07%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.3%2026-07-15 23:20
BetRivers1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -6.35%E -4.26%K -12.96%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -5.27%E -2.07%K -3.40%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-15 21:00
Betr (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -6.98%E -4.71%K -14.54%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -5.27%E -2.07%K -3.40%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-15 23:15
FanDuel1.53I 65.36%NM 62.22%EV -3.84%E -2.51%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.78%EV -6.39%E -2.54%K -4.20%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-15 19:19
SportsBet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.22%EV -3.84%E -2.51%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.78%EV -6.39%E -2.54%K -4.20%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-15 23:10
Fliff1.49I 67.11%NM 62.66%EV -6.35%E -4.26%K -12.96%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -7.13%E -2.85%K -4.75%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-15 23:10
theScore Bet1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -6.98%E -4.71%K -14.54%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -7.13%E -2.85%K -4.75%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-15 23:25
MyBookie.ag1.50I 66.67%NM 62.22%EV -5.72%E -3.81%K -11.44%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 37.78%EV -8.25%E -3.34%K -5.61%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-15 23:20
BetMGM1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -1.32%E -0.842%K -2.32%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -8.99%E -3.67%K -6.20%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-15 22:55
Neds1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -1.32%E -0.842%K -2.32%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -10.85%E -4.52%K -7.75%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-15 22:55
Ladbrokes (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -1.32%E -0.842%K -2.32%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -10.85%E -4.52%K -7.75%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-15 22:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig1.57I 63.69%NM 63.23%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.77%0.7%2026-07-15 23:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 63.66%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.34%2.7%2026-07-15 23:25
ProphetX1.53I 65.36%NM 63.66%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.34%2.7%2026-07-15 23:25