The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

Brooklyn Nets v Sacramento Kings

Kickoff: 2026-07-14 22:00 UTC

Final: Brooklyn Nets 115–83 Sacramento Kings

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

15 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Brooklyn Nets (Local)

Prediction 56.32%1.78fair odd
EV -3.13%
Edge -1.82%
Kelly -4.34%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.72

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.97%56.61%56.31%58.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.601.691.691.7262.50%59.22%59.17%58.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Sacramento Kings (Visit)

Prediction 43.68%2.29fair odd
EV -0.415%
Edge -0.182%
Kelly -0.324%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.28

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.24%43.39%43.69%45.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.182.182.2847.62%45.97%45.87%43.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Brooklyn Nets (Local): 56.32%; Sacramento Kings (Visit): 43.68%. For Sacramento Kings (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.29. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.28, with an expected value of -0.415%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (15 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetOnline.ag1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -3.13%E -1.82%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -4.78%E -2.19%K -4.05%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-14 21:55
Neds1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -3.13%E -1.82%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -8.28%E -3.94%K -7.52%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-14 21:44
Ladbrokes (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -3.13%E -1.82%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -8.28%E -3.94%K -7.52%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-14 21:44
Fanatics1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.69%E -2.16%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.91%E -1.78%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-14 21:49
Hard Rock Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.69%E -2.16%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.91%E -1.78%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-14 21:54
Bovada1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.69%E -2.16%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.91%E -1.78%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-14 21:44
DraftKings1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.25%E -2.50%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.91%E -1.78%K -3.26%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-14 21:15
ReBet1.69I 59.17%NM 56.44%EV -4.82%E -2.85%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.56%EV -4.35%E -1.98%K -3.65%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-14 21:49
FanDuel1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -4.82%E -2.85%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -4.78%E -2.19%K -4.05%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-14 21:55
SportsBet1.69I 59.17%NM 56.22%EV -4.82%E -2.85%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.78%EV -5.22%E -2.41%K -4.46%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-14 21:54
Pinnacle1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.38%E -3.20%K -7.91%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.91%E -1.78%K -3.26%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-14 21:30
theScore Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.94%E -3.56%K -8.87%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.09%E -2.83%K -5.30%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-14 20:40
Betr (AU)1.66I 60.24%NM 56.43%EV -6.50%E -3.92%K -9.86%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.57%EV -6.09%E -2.83%K -5.30%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-14 21:54
Marathon Bet1.66I 60.24%NM 56.20%EV -6.50%E -3.92%K -9.86%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 43.80%EV -6.97%E -3.27%K -6.17%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-14 21:55
BetRivers1.60I 62.50%NM 58.76%EV -9.88%E -6.18%K -16.47%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.24%EV -0.415%E -0.182%K -0.324%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-14 21:29
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.84I 54.35%NM 54.00%2.16I 46.30%NM 46.00%0.6%2026-07-14 21:55