The School of Odds

Brooklyn Nets v Golden State Warriors Blue

Kickoff: 2026-07-07 00:00 UTC

Final: Brooklyn Nets 100–79 Golden State Warriors Blue

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

8 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Brooklyn Nets (Local)

Prediction 73.06%1.37fair odd
EV -4.29%
Edge -3.27%
Kelly -13.83%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.31

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
71.74%73.07%73.06%74.40%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.271.291.291.3178.74%77.37%77.52%76.34%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Golden State Warriors Blue (Visit)

Prediction 26.94%3.71fair odd
EV +1.02%
Edge +0.271%
Kelly +0.369%
Growth +0.004%

assuming max odds 3.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.60%26.93%26.94%28.26%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
3.303.543.603.7530.30%28.27%27.78%26.67%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (8 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Fanatics1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -5.75%E -4.46%K -19.83%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV +1.02%E +0.271%K +0.369%G +0.004%4.2%2026-07-06 23:55
Bovada1.30I 76.92%NM 73.74%EV -5.02%E -3.86%K -16.73%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.26%EV -1.68%E -0.460%K -0.633%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-06 22:19
DraftKings1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -4.29%E -3.27%K -13.83%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -3.02%E -0.840%K -1.16%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-06 22:15
ReBet1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.75%E -4.46%K -19.83%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -3.02%E -0.840%K -1.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-06 23:15
Hard Rock Bet1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.75%E -4.46%K -19.83%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -3.02%E -0.840%K -1.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-06 23:15
Betr (AU)1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -5.75%E -4.46%K -19.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -8.41%E -2.47%K -3.51%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-06 23:55
theScore Bet1.27I 78.74%NM 72.81%EV -7.21%E -5.68%K -26.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -8.41%E -2.47%K -3.51%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-06 23:15
Marathon Bet1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -5.02%E -3.86%K -16.73%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -11.11%E -3.37%K -4.83%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-06 23:49
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.