The School of Odds
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Brooklyn Nets v Golden State Warriors Blue

Kickoff: 2026-07-07 00:00 UTC

Final: Brooklyn Nets 100–79 Golden State Warriors Blue

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

8 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Brooklyn Nets (Local)

Prediction 73.06%1.37fair odd
EV -4.29%
Edge -3.27%
Kelly -13.83%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.31

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
71.74%73.07%73.06%74.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.271.291.291.3178.74%77.37%77.52%76.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Golden State Warriors Blue (Visit)

Prediction 26.94%3.71fair odd
EV +1.02%
Edge +0.271%
Kelly +0.369%
Growth +0.004%

assuming max odds 3.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.60%26.93%26.94%28.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.543.603.7530.30%28.27%27.78%26.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Brooklyn Nets (Local): 73.06%; Golden State Warriors Blue (Visit): 26.94%. For Golden State Warriors Blue (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.71. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.75, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.02%.

Sportsbook Odds (8 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Fanatics🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -5.75%E -4.46%K -19.83%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV +1.02%E +0.271%K +0.369%G +0.004%4.2%2026-07-06 23:55
Bovada🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.74%EV -5.02%E -3.86%K -16.73%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.26%EV -1.68%E -0.460%K -0.633%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-06 22:19
DraftKings🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -4.29%E -3.27%K -13.83%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -3.02%E -0.840%K -1.16%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-06 22:15
ReBet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.75%E -4.46%K -19.83%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -3.02%E -0.840%K -1.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-06 23:15
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.75%E -4.46%K -19.83%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -3.02%E -0.840%K -1.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-06 23:15
Betr (AU)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -5.75%E -4.46%K -19.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -8.41%E -2.47%K -3.51%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-06 23:55
theScore Bet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 72.81%EV -7.21%E -5.68%K -26.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -8.41%E -2.47%K -3.51%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-06 23:15
Marathon Bet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -5.02%E -3.86%K -16.73%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -11.11%E -3.37%K -4.83%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-06 23:49
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

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