Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 2.46
assuming max odds 1.73
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.81%EV +5.27%E +2.14%K +3.61%G +0.190% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.19%EV -10.75%E -6.89%K -19.20%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-11 23:44 |
| SportsBet | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.65%EV +5.27%E +2.14%K +3.61%G +0.190% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.35%EV -11.33%E -7.31%K -20.59%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-11 23:44 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -1.58%E -0.687%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -4.46%E -2.67%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-07-11 23:39 |
| Bovada | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.72%E -1.65%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.32%E -1.96%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-07-11 23:19 |
| Fanatics | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.72%E -1.65%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.46%E -2.67%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-11 23:48 |
| ReBet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.72%E -1.65%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.61%E -3.40%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-11 23:44 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -3.72%E -1.65%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -6.18%E -3.77%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-11 23:34 |
| Neds | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -3.72%E -1.65%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -6.18%E -3.77%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-11 23:35 |
| DraftKings | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -4.15%E -1.85%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -3.89%E -2.32%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-11 23:34 |
| Pinnacle | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -5.00%E -2.25%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -4.46%E -2.67%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-11 23:55 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56%EV -5.86%E -2.66%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.44%EV -6.75%E -4.14%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-11 23:50 |
| theScore Bet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -5.86%E -2.66%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.32%E -4.52%K -11.81%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-11 23:39 |
| Fliff | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -5.86%E -2.66%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -7.89%E -4.90%K -12.94%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-11 23:54 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.16%EV -7.57%E -3.51%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.84%EV -6.18%E -3.77%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-11 23:49 |
| BetRivers | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.65%EV -11.85%E -5.75%K -11.18%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.35%EV -1.03%E -0.595%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-11 22:19 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19% | 0.5% | 2026-07-11 23:50 |