The School of Odds

Boston Celtics v Charlotte Hornets

2026-07-12 21:00 UTC — NBA Summer League

Head to Head

6 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Boston Celtics (Local)

Prediction 37.12%2.69fair odd
EV -2.01%
Edge -0.763%
Kelly -1.23%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.64

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.39%37.10%37.12%37.87%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.502.552.512.6440%39%40%38%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Charlotte Hornets (Visit)

Prediction 62.88%1.59fair odd
EV -3.79%
Edge -2.48%
Kelly -7.15%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.53

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
62.13%62.90%62.88%63.61%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.481.511.521.5368%66%66%65%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (6 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
DraftKings2.64I 37.88%NM 36.39%EV -2.01%E -0.763%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.61%EV -5.05%E -3.34%K -9.89%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-11 05:24
Fanatics2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -3.50%E -1.35%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.79%E -2.48%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-11 05:47
FanDuel2.52I 39.68%NM 37.78%EV -6.47%E -2.57%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.22%EV -3.79%E -2.48%K -7.15%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-11 05:49
SportsBet2.51I 39.84%NM 37.87%EV -6.84%E -2.72%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.13%EV -3.79%E -2.48%K -7.15%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-11 05:44
ReBet2.51I 39.84%NM 37.25%EV -6.84%E -2.72%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 62.75%EV -6.30%E -4.23%K -12.86%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-11 05:49
theScore Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -7.21%E -2.88%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -6.93%E -4.68%K -14.44%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-11 05:29
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%98.0%2026-07-11 07:24