The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Boston Celtics v Atlanta Hawks

Kickoff: 2026-07-13 22:00 UTC

Final: Boston Celtics 90–102 Atlanta Hawks

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

15 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Boston Celtics (Local)

Prediction 43.84%2.28fair odd
EV -0.930%
Edge -0.412%
Kelly -0.738%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.26

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.20%43.87%43.86%46.98%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.022.152.152.2649.50%46.43%46.51%44.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Atlanta Hawks (Visit)

Prediction 56.16%1.78fair odd
EV +0.533%
Edge +0.298%
Kelly +0.675%
Growth +0.004%

assuming max odds 1.79

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.02%56.13%56.14%57.80%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.631.701.701.7961.35%58.78%58.82%55.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Boston Celtics (Local): 43.84%; Atlanta Hawks (Visit): 56.16%. For Atlanta Hawks (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.78. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.79, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.533%.

Sportsbook Odds (15 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
SportsBet2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -11.45%E -5.67%K -11.23%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV +0.533%E +0.298%K +0.675%G +0.004%5.4%2026-07-13 21:54
Bovada2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -5.75%E -2.68%K -5.00%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -2.27%E -1.31%K -3.07%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-13 21:54
BetOnline.ag2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -5.75%E -2.68%K -5.00%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -2.27%E -1.31%K -3.07%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-13 21:55
theScore Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -10.14%E -4.94%K -9.65%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -2.27%E -1.31%K -3.07%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-13 21:45
Fanatics2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.56%E -1.62%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.96%E -2.32%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-13 21:49
Hard Rock Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.56%E -1.62%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.96%E -2.32%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-13 21:34
ReBet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.75%E -2.68%K -5.00%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.96%E -2.32%K -5.58%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-13 21:35
DraftKings2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.56%E -1.62%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.52%E -2.66%K -6.46%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-13 21:35
FanDuel2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -5.31%E -2.46%K -4.58%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -4.52%E -2.66%K -6.46%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-13 21:30
Neds2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.75%E -2.68%K -5.00%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.64%E -3.36%K -8.30%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-13 21:45
Ladbrokes (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.75%E -2.68%K -5.00%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.64%E -3.36%K -8.30%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-13 21:45
BetRivers2.14I 46.73%NM 43.98%EV -6.19%E -2.89%K -5.43%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.02%EV -5.64%E -3.36%K -8.30%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-13 21:00
Betr (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.57%EV -5.75%E -2.68%K -5.00%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.43%EV -6.77%E -4.08%K -10.25%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-13 21:49
Pinnacle2.26I 44.25%NM 42.20%EV -0.930%E -0.412%K -0.738%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.80%EV -7.33%E -4.44%K -11.28%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-13 21:50
Marathon Bet2.18I 45.87%NM 42.78%EV -4.44%E -2.04%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.22%EV -8.45%E -5.19%K -13.42%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-13 21:25
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%2.0%2026-07-13 21:55