The School of Odds

Boston Celtics v Atlanta Hawks

2026-07-13 22:00 UTC — NBA Summer League

Head to Head

5 sportsbooks (3 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Boston Celtics (Local)

Prediction 37.90%2.64fair odd
EV -3.35%
Edge -1.31%
Kelly -2.16%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.55

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.78%37.90%37.96%38.13%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.452.502.512.5541%40%40%39%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Atlanta Hawks (Visit)

Prediction 62.10%1.61fair odd
EV -3.13%
Edge -2.01%
Kelly -5.59%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.56

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
61.87%62.10%62.04%62.22%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.501.531.531.5667%66%65%64%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (5 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Fanatics2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -3.35%E -1.31%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -3.13%E -2.01%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.3%2026-07-12 05:14
FanDuel2.52I 39.68%NM 37.78%EV -4.48%E -1.78%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.22%EV -4.99%E -3.26%K -9.42%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-12 05:14
SportsBet2.51I 39.84%NM 37.87%EV -4.86%E -1.94%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.13%EV -4.99%E -3.26%K -9.42%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-12 05:14
ReBet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -7.14%E -2.91%K -4.92%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 61.87%EV -6.23%E -4.13%K -12.22%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-12 05:14
theScore Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -7.14%E -2.91%K -4.92%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -6.85%E -4.57%K -13.71%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-12 05:14
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.11I 90.09%NM 50.00%1.11I 90.09%NM 50.00%80.2%2026-07-12 07:54