Atlanta Hawks v San Antonio Spurs

Kickoff: 2026-07-09 20:40 UTC

Final: Atlanta Hawks 93–66 San Antonio Spurs

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

15 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

61%

39%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Atlanta Hawks (Local)

Prediction 60.59%1.65fair odd

EV -1.85%

Edge -1.14%

Kelly -2.98%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.62

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

59.43%60.66%59.95%62.25%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

1.521.561.571.6265.79%64.08%63.69%61.73%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

San Antonio Spurs (Visit)

Prediction 39.41%2.54fair odd

EV +0.501%

Edge +0.196%

Kelly +0.323%

Growth +0.002%

assuming max odds 2.55

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

37.75%39.34%40.05%40.57%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

2.302.422.402.5543.48%41.38%41.67%39.22%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (15 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local	Visit ▼	Margin	Updated
Bovada	1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -5.48%E -3.51%K -9.79%G +0.000%	2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV +0.501%E +0.196%K +0.323%G +0.002%	3.3%	2026-07-09 20:13
DraftKings	1.54I 64.94%NM 62.25%EV -6.69%E -4.35%K -12.40%G +0.000%	2.54I 39.37%NM 37.75%EV +0.106%E +0.042%K +0.069%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-07-09 20:15
Pinnacle	1.53I 65.36%NM 62.22%EV -7.30%E -4.77%K -13.77%G +0.000%	2.52I 39.68%NM 37.78%EV -0.682%E -0.271%K -0.449%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-07-09 20:29
Hard Rock Bet	1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -5.48%E -3.51%K -9.79%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -1.47%E -0.588%K -0.980%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-07-09 20:29
ReBet	1.57I 63.69%NM 60.55%EV -4.88%E -3.11%K -8.56%G +0.000%	2.41I 41.49%NM 39.45%EV -5.02%E -2.08%K -3.56%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-07-09 20:19
Marathon Bet	1.52I 65.79%NM 61.32%EV -7.91%E -5.20%K -15.20%G +0.000%	2.41I 41.49%NM 38.68%EV -5.02%E -2.08%K -3.56%G +0.000%	7.3%	2026-07-09 20:29
Fanatics	1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -1.85%E -1.14%K -2.98%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -5.41%E -2.25%K -3.87%G +0.000%	3.4%	2026-07-09 20:19
Ladbrokes (AU)	1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.88%E -3.11%K -8.56%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.41%E -2.25%K -3.87%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-07-09 19:49
Neds	1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.88%E -3.11%K -8.56%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.41%E -2.25%K -3.87%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-07-09 19:49
Betr (AU)	1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -7.91%E -5.20%K -15.20%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -5.41%E -2.25%K -3.87%G +0.000%	7.5%	2026-07-09 20:29
FanDuel	1.59I 62.89%NM 59.95%EV -3.67%E -2.31%K -6.21%G +0.000%	2.38I 42.02%NM 40.05%EV -6.20%E -2.60%K -4.49%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-07-09 20:20
SportsBet	1.59I 62.89%NM 59.75%EV -3.67%E -2.31%K -6.21%G +0.000%	2.36I 42.37%NM 40.25%EV -6.99%E -2.96%K -5.14%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-07-09 20:29
Fliff	1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -7.30%E -4.77%K -13.77%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -7.38%E -3.14%K -5.47%G +0.000%	7.9%	2026-07-09 20:24
BetRivers	1.57I 63.69%NM 59.74%EV -4.88%E -3.11%K -8.56%G +0.000%	2.33I 42.92%NM 40.26%EV -8.17%E -3.51%K -6.14%G +0.000%	6.6%	2026-07-09 20:29
theScore Bet	1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -4.88%E -3.11%K -8.56%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -9.35%E -4.07%K -7.19%G +0.000%	7.2%	2026-07-09 20:29

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

Bookmaker	Local	Visit	Margin ▲	Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)	1.56I 64.10%NM 62.68%	2.62I 38.17%NM 37.32%	2.3%	2026-07-09 20:30