The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Washington Wizards v Detroit Pistons

Kickoff: 2026-10-10 23:10 UTC

Final: Washington Wizards 114–108 Detroit Pistons

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

24 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Washington Wizards (Local)

Prediction 48.65%2.06fair odd
EV +8.50%
Edge +3.81%
Kelly +6.91%
Growth +0.587%

assuming max odds 2.23

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.82%48.02%48.62%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.841.961.962.2354.35%51.05%51.02%44.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Detroit Pistons (Visit)

Prediction 51.35%1.95fair odd
EV -2.44%
Edge -1.28%
Kelly -2.71%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.90

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.00%51.98%51.38%57.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.671.831.851.9059.88%54.58%54.05%52.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Washington Wizards (Local): 48.65%; Detroit Pistons (Visit): 51.35%. For Washington Wizards (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.06. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.23, corresponding to a positive expected value of +8.50%.

Sportsbook Odds (24 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetRivers🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV +8.50%E +3.81%K +6.91%G +0.587%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -14.25%E -8.53%K -21.27%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-10 22:10
Caesars🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.69%E -1.35%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.04%E -3.30%K -7.27%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-10 22:55
Bovada🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.69%E -1.35%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.04%E -3.30%K -7.27%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-10 22:59
BetUS🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.69%E -1.35%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.04%E -3.30%K -7.27%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-10 22:45
DraftKings🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -3.67%E -1.85%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -5.01%E -2.71%K -5.89%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-10 22:55
BetOnline.ag🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -3.67%E -1.85%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -5.01%E -2.71%K -5.89%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-10 22:45
LiveScore Bet🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -4.15%E -2.11%K -4.28%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -5.01%E -2.71%K -5.89%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-10 22:45
ReBet🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -4.15%E -2.11%K -4.28%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -5.01%E -2.71%K -5.89%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-10 22:55
Unibet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -4.64%E -2.37%K -4.83%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -5.01%E -2.71%K -5.89%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-10 22:45
Unibet (SE)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -4.64%E -2.37%K -4.83%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -5.01%E -2.71%K -5.89%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-10 22:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -4.64%E -2.37%K -4.83%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -5.01%E -2.71%K -5.89%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-10 22:45
TABtouch🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -4.64%E -2.37%K -4.83%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -5.01%E -2.71%K -5.89%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-10 22:45
betPARX🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -4.64%E -2.37%K -4.83%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -5.01%E -2.71%K -5.89%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-10 22:45
Bally Bet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -4.64%E -2.37%K -4.83%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -5.01%E -2.71%K -5.89%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-10 22:45
Fliff🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.72%EV -5.13%E -2.63%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 53.28%EV -12.20%E -7.13%K -17.18%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-10 23:05
FanDuel🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -6.10%E -3.16%K -6.56%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -2.95%E -1.56%K -3.32%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-10 22:45
Pinnacle🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.08%EV -6.10%E -3.16%K -6.56%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 50.92%EV -4.49%E -2.42%K -5.23%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-10 23:09
Betr (AU)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.40%EV -6.10%E -3.16%K -6.56%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 51.60%EV -7.06%E -3.90%K -8.72%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-10 23:00
Bet Right🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.40%EV -6.10%E -3.16%K -6.56%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 51.60%EV -7.06%E -3.90%K -8.72%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-10 22:59
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.07%EV -6.59%E -3.43%K -7.16%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.93%EV -5.01%E -2.71%K -5.89%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-10 22:55
theScore Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.07%E -3.70%K -7.77%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.04%E -3.30%K -7.27%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-10 23:00
SportsBet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -7.56%E -3.98%K -8.40%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -2.44%E -1.28%K -2.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-10 22:45
MyBookie.ag🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.60%EV -8.53%E -4.54%K -9.70%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.40%EV -5.01%E -2.71%K -5.89%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-10 22:55
Betsson🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 49.45%EV -10.48%E -5.69%K -12.47%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.55%EV -7.58%E -4.21%K -9.47%G +0.000%9.9%2026-10-10 23:04
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.99I 50.25%NM 49.23%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.77%2.1%2026-10-10 23:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.99I 50.25%NM 49.23%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.77%2.1%2026-10-10 23:01
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.99I 50.25%NM 49.23%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.77%2.1%2026-10-10 23:00