The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Utah Jazz v San Antonio Spurs

Kickoff: 2026-10-13 01:11 UTC

Final: Utah Jazz 119–109 San Antonio Spurs

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

23 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Utah Jazz (Local)

Prediction 65.88%1.52fair odd
EV -1.84%
Edge -1.23%
Kelly -3.75%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.49

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
64.01%65.94%65.88%69.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.361.451.451.4973.53%69.07%68.97%67.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

San Antonio Spurs (Visit)

Prediction 34.12%2.93fair odd
EV +7.48%
Edge +2.37%
Kelly +3.48%
Growth +0.260%

assuming max odds 3.15

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.16%34.06%34.12%35.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.602.752.753.1538.46%36.39%36.36%31.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Utah Jazz (Local): 65.88%; San Antonio Spurs (Visit): 34.12%. For San Antonio Spurs (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.93. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.15, corresponding to a positive expected value of +7.48%.

Sportsbook Odds (23 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -10.40%E -7.65%K -28.90%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV +7.48%E +2.37%K +3.48%G +0.260%5.3%2026-10-13 01:09
BetOnline.ag🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 67.13%EV -5.79%E -4.05%K -13.47%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.87%EV -0.371%E -0.127%K -0.193%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-13 01:00
Caesars🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.13%E -3.56%K -11.66%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -2.76%E -0.968%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-13 00:54
Bovada🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.13%E -3.56%K -11.66%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -2.76%E -0.968%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-13 00:53
BetUS🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%EV -2.50%E -1.69%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%EV -4.47%E -1.59%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.3%2026-10-13 01:10
DraftKings🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 65.73%EV -3.81%E -2.61%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.27%EV -4.47%E -1.59%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-13 00:49
FanDuel🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.13%E -3.56%K -11.66%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.47%E -1.59%K -2.48%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-13 01:10
Pinnacle🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.88%EV -5.13%E -3.56%K -11.66%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.12%EV -5.15%E -1.85%K -2.89%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-13 01:00
ReBet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.47%E -3.09%K -9.94%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.17%E -2.24%K -3.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-13 01:09
Betr (AU)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -6.45%E -4.54%K -15.36%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -6.17%E -2.24%K -3.53%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-13 00:55
Bet Right🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -6.45%E -4.54%K -15.36%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -6.17%E -2.24%K -3.53%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-13 00:55
MyBookie.ag🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.77%E -5.55%K -19.42%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.17%E -2.24%K -3.53%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-13 01:05
SportsBet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.14%EV -4.47%E -3.09%K -9.94%G +0.000%2.71I 36.90%NM 34.86%EV -7.54%E -2.78%K -4.41%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-13 01:09
theScore Bet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.47%E -3.09%K -9.94%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.88%E -2.92%K -4.63%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-13 01:09
Fliff🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 65.69%EV -7.11%E -5.04%K -17.34%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.31%EV -7.88%E -2.92%K -4.63%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-13 01:04
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -1.84%E -1.23%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -9.58%E -3.62%K -5.81%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-12 18:29
Unibet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -1.84%E -1.23%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -9.58%E -3.62%K -5.81%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-12 18:29
LiveScore Bet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -1.84%E -1.23%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -9.58%E -3.62%K -5.81%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-12 18:30
Unibet (SE)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -1.84%E -1.23%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -9.58%E -3.62%K -5.81%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-12 18:30
TABtouch🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -1.84%E -1.23%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -9.58%E -3.62%K -5.81%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-12 18:30
Bally Bet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -1.84%E -1.23%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -9.58%E -3.62%K -5.81%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-12 18:29
betPARX🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -1.84%E -1.23%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -9.58%E -3.62%K -5.81%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-12 18:29
Betsson🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 65.33%EV -9.08%E -6.58%K -23.91%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.67%EV -11.29%E -4.34%K -7.06%G +0.000%10.9%2026-10-13 01:05
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.53I 65.36%NM 65.15%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.85%0.3%2026-10-13 01:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.53I 65.36%NM 65.15%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.85%0.3%2026-10-13 01:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.52I 65.79%NM 65.30%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.70%0.8%2026-10-13 01:10