Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Toronto Raptors v Miami Heat

2026-10-03 23:00 UTC — NBA Preseason

Head to Head

7 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

48%

52%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Toronto Raptors (Local)

Prediction 47.75%2.09fair odd

EV -0.685%

Edge -0.329%

Kelly -0.634%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.08

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

45.69%47.50%47.75%48.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.911.981.982.0852.36%50.40%50.51%48.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Miami Heat (Visit)

Prediction 52.25%1.91fair odd

EV -3.33%

Edge -1.80%

Kelly -3.92%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.85

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

51.70%52.50%52.25%54.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.731.791.771.8557.80%55.96%56.50%54.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Toronto Raptors (Local): 47.75%; Miami Heat (Visit): 52.25%. For Toronto Raptors (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.09. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.08, with an expected value of -0.685%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (7 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
SportsBet🎯	2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -0.685%E -0.329%K -0.634%G +0.000%	1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -8.56%E -4.89%K -11.41%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-10-02 03:30
FanDuel🎯	2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -1.64%E -0.796%K -1.55%G +0.000%	1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -7.51%E -4.24%K -9.76%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-10-02 03:29
Bovada🎯	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.50%E -2.25%K -4.50%G +0.000%	1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.38%E -2.39%K -5.27%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-10-02 04:04
DraftKings🎯	1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -5.46%E -2.76%K -5.57%G +0.000%	1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -3.33%E -1.80%K -3.92%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-10-02 03:30
ReBet🎯	1.94I 51.55%NM 48.27%EV -7.37%E -3.80%K -7.84%G +0.000%	1.81I 55.25%NM 51.73%EV -5.42%E -3.00%K -6.70%G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-10-02 03:30
Betsson🎯	1.92I 52.08%NM 47.40%EV -8.32%E -4.34%K -9.05%G +0.000%	1.73I 57.80%NM 52.60%EV -9.60%E -5.55%K -13.16%G +0.000%	9.9%	2026-10-02 03:30
theScore Bet🎯	1.91I 52.36%NM 48.10%EV -8.80%E -4.61%K -9.67%G +0.000%	1.77I 56.50%NM 51.90%EV -7.51%E -4.24%K -9.76%G +0.000%	8.9%	2026-10-02 03:30

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

Bookmaker	Local	Visit	Margin ▲	Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎	1.83I 54.64%NM 49.86%	1.82I 54.95%NM 50.14%	9.6%	2026-10-02 07:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎	1.83I 54.64%NM 49.86%	1.82I 54.95%NM 50.14%	9.6%	2026-10-02 07:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎	1.83I 54.64%NM 49.86%	1.82I 54.95%NM 50.14%	9.6%	2026-10-02 07:20