Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Toronto Raptors v Los Angeles Clippers

Kickoff: 2026-10-10 22:43 UTC

Final: Toronto Raptors 114–106 Los Angeles Clippers

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

22 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Toronto Raptors (Local)

Prediction 61.82%1.62fair odd
EV -2.95%
Edge -1.88%
Kelly -5.17%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.57

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
61.04%61.84%61.71%62.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.471.531.531.5768.03%65.44%65.36%63.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Los Angeles Clippers (Visit)

Prediction 38.18%2.62fair odd
EV -1.49%
Edge -0.578%
Kelly -0.944%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.58

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.23%38.16%38.29%38.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.352.502.502.5842.55%40.04%40.00%38.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Toronto Raptors (Local): 61.82%; Los Angeles Clippers (Visit): 38.18%. For Los Angeles Clippers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.62. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.58, with an expected value of -1.49%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (22 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetOnline.ag🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.71%EV -2.95%E -1.88%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 38.29%EV -3.40%E -1.34%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.2%2026-10-10 21:40
BetUS🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -2.95%E -1.88%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -4.55%E -1.82%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.7%2026-10-10 21:40
DraftKings🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.25%EV -4.80%E -3.12%K -8.89%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.75%EV -3.02%E -1.19%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-10 14:00
ReBet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.80%E -3.12%K -8.89%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.55%E -1.82%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-10 21:49
FanDuel🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.80%E -3.12%K -8.89%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.31%E -2.14%K -3.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-10 22:35
Pinnacle🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -4.80%E -3.12%K -8.89%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -6.46%E -2.63%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-10 22:39
Caesars🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.77%EV -5.42%E -3.54%K -10.22%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.23%EV -1.49%E -0.578%K -0.944%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-10 16:14
Unibet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -5.42%E -3.54%K -10.22%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -2.64%E -1.03%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-10 14:00
TABtouch🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -5.42%E -3.54%K -10.22%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -2.64%E -1.03%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-10 14:00
Unibet (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -5.42%E -3.54%K -10.22%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -2.64%E -1.03%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-10 14:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -5.42%E -3.54%K -10.22%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -2.64%E -1.03%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-10 14:00
LiveScore Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -5.42%E -3.54%K -10.22%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -2.64%E -1.03%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-10 14:01
betPARX🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -5.42%E -3.54%K -10.22%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -2.64%E -1.03%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-10 14:00
Bally Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -5.42%E -3.54%K -10.22%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -2.64%E -1.03%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-10 14:01
theScore Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.42%E -3.54%K -10.22%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.55%E -1.82%K -3.03%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-10 22:30
SportsBet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.65%EV -5.42%E -3.54%K -10.22%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.35%EV -6.07%E -2.47%K -4.16%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-10 22:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -6.04%E -3.97%K -11.61%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -4.55%E -1.82%K -3.03%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-10 19:49
Bet Right🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -6.04%E -3.97%K -11.61%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -6.46%E -2.63%K -4.45%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-10 16:35
Betr (AU)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.87%EV -6.65%E -4.41%K -13.05%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -6.46%E -2.63%K -4.45%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-10 22:25
MyBookie.ag🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -7.27%E -4.85%K -14.54%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.36%E -3.49%K -5.97%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-10 22:40
Betsson🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.04%EV -7.27%E -4.85%K -14.54%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -10.27%E -4.37%K -7.61%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-10 14:01
Fliff🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.02%EV -9.13%E -6.21%K -19.42%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.98%EV -8.36%E -3.49%K -5.97%G +0.000%9.7%2026-10-10 22:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.62I 61.73%NM 61.06%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.94%1.1%2026-10-10 22:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.61I 62.11%NM 61.20%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.80%1.5%2026-10-10 22:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.61I 62.11%NM 61.20%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.80%1.5%2026-10-10 22:40