Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

San Antonio Spurs v Sacramento Kings

2026-10-17 00:00 UTC — NBA Preseason

Head to Head

18 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

San Antonio Spurs (Local)

Prediction 86.64%1.15fair odd
EV -3.83%
Edge -3.45%
Kelly -34.85%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.11

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
84.87%86.49%86.59%87.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.071.101.101.1193.46%91.09%90.50%90.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Sacramento Kings (Visit)

Prediction 13.36%7.48fair odd
EV +0.226%
Edge +0.030%
Kelly +0.035%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 7.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
12.62%13.51%13.41%15.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
6.006.897.007.5016.67%14.51%14.29%13.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: San Antonio Spurs (Local): 86.64%; Sacramento Kings (Visit): 13.36%. For Sacramento Kings (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 7.48. 2 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 7.50, producing a positive expected value of +0.226%.

Sportsbook Odds (18 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
DraftKings🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -4.70%E -4.27%K -47.00%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV +0.226%E +0.030%K +0.035%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-16 05:10
Caesars🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -4.70%E -4.27%K -47.00%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV +0.226%E +0.030%K +0.035%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-16 06:34
Pinnacle🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 87.38%EV -7.30%E -6.82%K -104.27%G +0.000%7.41I 13.50%NM 12.62%EV -0.976%E -0.132%K -0.152%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-16 06:45
FanDuel🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.59%EV -4.70%E -4.27%K -47.00%G +0.000%7.10I 14.08%NM 13.41%EV -5.12%E -0.721%K -0.839%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-16 05:39
LiveScore Bet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -3.83%E -3.45%K -34.85%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -6.46%E -0.922%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-16 06:04
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -3.83%E -3.45%K -34.85%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -6.46%E -0.922%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-16 06:05
TABtouch🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -3.83%E -3.45%K -34.85%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -6.46%E -0.922%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-16 06:04
Unibet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -3.83%E -3.45%K -34.85%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -6.46%E -0.922%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-16 06:05
Unibet (SE)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -3.83%E -3.45%K -34.85%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -6.46%E -0.922%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-16 06:04
BetRivers🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -3.83%E -3.45%K -34.85%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -6.46%E -0.922%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-16 06:04
Bally Bet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -3.83%E -3.45%K -34.85%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -6.46%E -0.922%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-16 06:04
betPARX🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -3.83%E -3.45%K -34.85%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -6.46%E -0.922%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-16 06:04
ReBet🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.57%E -5.11%K -61.85%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -6.46%E -0.922%K -1.08%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-16 05:55
Bovada🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -3.83%E -3.45%K -34.85%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -13.14%E -2.02%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-16 07:09
SportsBet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -4.70%E -4.27%K -47.00%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -13.14%E -2.02%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-16 05:40
theScore Bet🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 85.87%EV -7.30%E -6.82%K -104.27%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.13%EV -13.14%E -2.02%K -2.39%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-16 05:05
picklebet_au🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 84.87%EV -7.30%E -6.82%K -104.27%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.13%EV -19.82%E -3.30%K -3.96%G +0.000%10.1%2026-10-16 05:50
Betsson🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 84.87%EV -7.30%E -6.82%K -104.27%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.13%EV -19.82%E -3.30%K -3.96%G +0.000%10.1%2026-10-16 05:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.12I 89.29%NM 87.72%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.28%1.8%2026-10-16 07:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.12I 89.29%NM 87.72%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.28%1.8%2026-10-16 07:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.12I 89.29%NM 87.72%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.28%1.8%2026-10-16 07:10