The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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San Antonio Spurs v Sacramento Kings

Kickoff: 2026-10-17 00:10 UTC

Final: San Antonio Spurs 126–97 Sacramento Kings

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

24 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

San Antonio Spurs (Local)

Prediction 82.83%1.21fair odd
EV -2.26%
Edge -1.91%
Kelly -12.55%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.18

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
81.24%82.83%82.82%86.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.081.141.151.1892.59%87.59%87.34%84.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Sacramento Kings (Visit)

Prediction 17.17%5.82fair odd
EV +24.48%
Edge +3.38%
Kelly +3.92%
Growth +0.959%

assuming max odds 7.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
13.17%17.17%17.18%18.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.855.625.507.2520.62%17.80%18.18%13.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: San Antonio Spurs (Local): 82.83%; Sacramento Kings (Visit): 17.17%. For Sacramento Kings (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.82. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 7.25, corresponding to a positive expected value of +24.48%.

Sportsbook Odds (24 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
ReBet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.83%EV -8.89%E -8.08%K -88.86%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 13.17%EV +24.48%E +3.38%K +3.92%G +0.959%4.7%2026-10-17 00:10
MyBookie.ag🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 85.27%EV -10.54%E -9.76%K -131.78%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.73%EV +7.31%E +1.17%K +1.39%G +0.102%8.6%2026-10-17 00:09
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.82%EV -8.06%E -7.26%K -73.25%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.18%EV +6.45%E +1.04%K +1.24%G +0.080%6.2%2026-10-16 23:35
Caesars🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -5.57%E -4.89%K -39.81%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV +3.01%E +0.502%K +0.603%G +0.018%4.4%2026-10-17 00:10
SportsBet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -6.40%E -5.66%K -49.24%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -1.28%E -0.222%K -0.269%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-17 00:09
theScore Bet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 83.82%EV -8.06%E -7.26%K -73.25%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.18%EV -1.28%E -0.222%K -0.269%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-16 23:25
FanDuel🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.33%EV -5.57%E -4.89%K -39.81%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.67%EV -2.14%E -0.375%K -0.454%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-16 23:55
Bovada🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -4.74%E -4.13%K -31.63%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV -3.85%E -0.688%K -0.838%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-16 23:13
LiveScore Bet🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -3.92%E -3.38%K -24.48%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV -5.57%E -1.01%K -1.24%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-16 23:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -3.92%E -3.38%K -24.48%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV -5.57%E -1.01%K -1.24%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-16 23:55
TABtouch🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -3.92%E -3.38%K -24.48%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV -5.57%E -1.01%K -1.24%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-16 23:55
Unibet🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -3.92%E -3.38%K -24.48%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV -5.57%E -1.01%K -1.24%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-16 23:55
Unibet (SE)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -3.92%E -3.38%K -24.48%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV -5.57%E -1.01%K -1.24%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-16 23:55
Bally Bet🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -3.92%E -3.38%K -24.48%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV -5.57%E -1.01%K -1.24%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-16 23:55
betPARX🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -3.92%E -3.38%K -24.48%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV -5.57%E -1.01%K -1.24%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-16 23:55
BetRivers🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.74%E -4.13%K -31.63%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -5.57%E -1.01%K -1.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-16 23:20
Pinnacle🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 82.93%EV -6.40%E -5.66%K -49.24%G +0.000%5.49I 18.21%NM 17.07%EV -5.74%E -1.05%K -1.28%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-17 00:05
BetOnline.ag🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 82.35%EV -3.09%E -2.64%K -18.16%G +0.000%5.46I 18.32%NM 17.65%EV -6.26%E -1.15%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.8%2026-10-16 23:14
DraftKings🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 82.19%EV -3.09%E -2.64%K -18.16%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.81%EV -7.29%E -1.35%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.0%2026-10-16 23:30
picklebet_au🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 82.82%EV -7.23%E -6.45%K -60.25%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.18%EV -7.29%E -1.35%K -1.66%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-16 23:59
BetUS🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 81.65%EV -2.26%E -1.91%K -12.55%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.35%EV -9.86%E -1.88%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.8%2026-10-16 23:20
Betr (AU)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -5.57%E -4.89%K -39.81%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -9.86%E -1.88%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-16 23:59
Bet Right🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -5.57%E -4.89%K -39.81%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -9.86%E -1.88%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-17 00:00
Betsson🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 81.24%EV -7.23%E -6.45%K -60.25%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 18.76%EV -16.73%E -3.45%K -4.35%G +0.000%9.9%2026-10-16 23:59
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.18I 84.75%NM 83.09%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.91%2.0%2026-10-17 00:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.18I 84.75%NM 83.09%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.91%2.0%2026-10-17 00:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.18I 84.75%NM 82.85%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.15%2.3%2026-10-17 00:10