The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

San Antonio Spurs v Phoenix Suns

Kickoff: 2026-10-15 00:10 UTC

Final: San Antonio Spurs 123–103 Phoenix Suns

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

24 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

San Antonio Spurs (Local)

Prediction 80.20%1.25fair odd
EV -1.35%
Edge -1.10%
Kelly -5.89%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.23

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
77.55%79.91%80.30%82.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.141.191.191.2387.72%83.80%83.68%81.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Phoenix Suns (Visit)

Prediction 19.80%5.05fair odd
EV +8.90%
Edge +1.62%
Kelly +1.98%
Growth +0.176%

assuming max odds 5.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.17%20.09%19.70%22.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.204.604.475.5023.81%21.76%22.35%18.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: San Antonio Spurs (Local): 80.20%; Phoenix Suns (Visit): 19.80%. For Phoenix Suns (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.05. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +8.90%.

Sportsbook Odds (24 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
SportsBet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -8.57%E -7.52%K -61.23%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV +8.90%E +1.62%K +1.98%G +0.176%5.9%2026-10-14 23:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.57%EV -8.57%E -7.52%K -61.23%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.43%EV +6.92%E +1.28%K +1.57%G +0.109%6.2%2026-10-14 22:45
FanDuel🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -6.17%E -5.27%K -36.27%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV +2.96%E +0.569%K +0.704%G +0.021%4.7%2026-10-14 23:10
DraftKings🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 80.78%EV -4.56%E -3.83%K -24.01%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.22%EV -1.00%E -0.200%K -0.250%G +0.000%4.0%2026-10-15 00:05
Caesars🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -5.36%E -4.55%K -29.80%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -1.00%E -0.200%K -0.250%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-14 23:56
theScore Bet🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 80.67%EV -7.77%E -6.76%K -51.80%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.33%EV -4.96%E -1.03%K -1.31%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-15 00:00
BetUS🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 79.70%EV -2.96%E -2.44%K -14.08%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.30%EV -5.95%E -1.25%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.7%2026-10-14 23:54
Bovada🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -3.76%E -3.13%K -18.80%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV -6.94%E -1.48%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-14 23:54
BetOnline.ag🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 79.42%EV -2.96%E -2.44%K -14.08%G +0.000%4.67I 21.41%NM 20.58%EV -7.54%E -1.61%K -2.05%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-14 23:49
Pinnacle🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.93%EV -6.17%E -5.27%K -36.27%G +0.000%4.66I 21.46%NM 20.07%EV -7.73%E -1.66%K -2.11%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-15 00:00
ReBet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -3.76%E -3.13%K -18.80%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -8.92%E -1.94%K -2.48%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-14 22:40
Betr (AU)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -5.36%E -4.55%K -29.80%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -10.90%E -2.42%K -3.11%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-14 23:54
MyBookie.ag🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 79.32%EV -6.97%E -6.01%K -43.55%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.68%EV -11.89%E -2.67%K -3.45%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-15 00:05
picklebet_au🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 79.32%EV -6.97%E -6.01%K -43.55%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.68%EV -11.89%E -2.67%K -3.45%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-14 23:59
Bet Right🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -5.36%E -4.55%K -29.80%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -12.88%E -2.93%K -3.79%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-14 23:55
Unibet🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -1.35%E -1.10%K -5.89%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -15.85%E -3.73%K -4.88%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-14 23:49
TABtouch🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -1.35%E -1.10%K -5.89%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -15.85%E -3.73%K -4.88%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-14 23:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -1.35%E -1.10%K -5.89%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -15.85%E -3.73%K -4.88%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-14 23:50
Unibet (SE)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -1.35%E -1.10%K -5.89%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -15.85%E -3.73%K -4.88%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-14 23:50
LiveScore Bet🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -1.35%E -1.10%K -5.89%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -15.85%E -3.73%K -4.88%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-14 23:49
BetRivers🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -1.35%E -1.10%K -5.89%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -15.85%E -3.73%K -4.88%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-14 23:48
Bally Bet🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -1.35%E -1.10%K -5.89%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -15.85%E -3.73%K -4.88%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-14 23:50
betPARX🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -1.35%E -1.10%K -5.89%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -15.85%E -3.73%K -4.88%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-14 23:49
Betsson🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 78.36%EV -6.97%E -6.01%K -43.55%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -16.84%E -4.01%K -5.26%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-14 22:54
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.23I 81.30%NM 80.26%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.74%1.3%2026-10-15 00:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.23I 81.30%NM 80.26%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.74%1.3%2026-10-15 00:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.22I 81.97%NM 80.70%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.30%1.6%2026-10-15 00:10