The School of Odds
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Sacramento Kings v Portland Trail Blazers

Kickoff: 2026-10-14 02:10 UTC

Final: Sacramento Kings 98–110 Portland Trail Blazers

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

24 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Sacramento Kings (Local)

Prediction 31.32%3.19fair odd
EV -0.398%
Edge -0.125%
Kelly -0.183%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.18

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.26%31.64%31.41%34.12%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.752.942.953.1836.36%34.03%33.90%31.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Portland Trail Blazers (Visit)

Prediction 68.68%1.46fair odd
EV -0.416%
Edge -0.287%
Kelly -0.924%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.45

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
65.88%68.36%68.59%69.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.331.401.401.4575.19%71.49%71.68%68.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Sacramento Kings (Local): 31.32%; Portland Trail Blazers (Visit): 68.68%. For Sacramento Kings (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.19. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.18, with an expected value of -0.398%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (24 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetUS🎯3.18I 31.45%NM 30.26%EV -0.398%E -0.125%K -0.183%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.74%EV -5.22%E -3.79%K -13.75%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-14 01:44
Bovada🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -1.34%E -0.425%K -0.622%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -5.22%E -3.79%K -13.75%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-14 01:59
BetOnline.ag🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -1.34%E -0.425%K -0.622%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -5.22%E -3.79%K -13.75%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-14 01:39
Caesars🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -1.34%E -0.425%K -0.622%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -5.91%E -4.31%K -15.97%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-14 01:43
theScore Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.90%E -0.937%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.60%E -4.85%K -18.33%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-14 01:59
Pinnacle🎯3.07I 32.57%NM 30.86%EV -3.84%E -1.25%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.14%EV -5.91%E -4.31%K -15.97%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-14 02:09
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -4.47%E -1.47%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -6.60%E -4.85%K -18.33%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-14 02:04
DraftKings🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV -6.04%E -2.01%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -3.16%E -2.24%K -7.71%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-14 01:59
MyBookie.ag🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -6.04%E -2.01%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -7.28%E -5.40%K -20.81%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-14 02:03
FanDuel🎯2.98I 33.56%NM 31.96%EV -6.66%E -2.24%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.04%EV -3.85%E -2.75%K -9.62%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-14 02:05
ReBet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -7.60%E -2.58%K -3.90%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -3.16%E -2.24%K -7.71%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-14 01:59
SportsBet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.03%EV -7.60%E -2.58%K -3.90%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 67.97%EV -4.54%E -3.26%K -11.63%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-14 02:09
Fliff🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.07%EV -7.60%E -2.58%K -3.90%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 68.93%EV -8.66%E -6.51%K -26.23%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-14 02:05
Bet Right🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -10.73%E -3.77%K -5.80%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -3.85%E -2.75%K -9.62%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-14 01:44
Betr (AU)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.78%EV -10.73%E -3.77%K -5.80%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 67.22%EV -4.54%E -3.26%K -11.63%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-14 01:45
LiveScore Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -12.30%E -4.39%K -6.83%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -0.416%E -0.287%K -0.924%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-14 01:39
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -12.30%E -4.39%K -6.83%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -1.10%E -0.766%K -2.51%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-14 01:40
Unibet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -12.30%E -4.39%K -6.83%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -1.10%E -0.766%K -2.51%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-14 01:39
BetRivers🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -12.30%E -4.39%K -6.83%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -1.10%E -0.766%K -2.51%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-14 01:39
TABtouch🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -12.30%E -4.39%K -6.83%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -1.10%E -0.766%K -2.51%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-14 01:40
Unibet (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -12.30%E -4.39%K -6.83%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -1.10%E -0.766%K -2.51%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-14 01:39
betPARX🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -12.30%E -4.39%K -6.83%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -1.10%E -0.766%K -2.51%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-14 01:39
Bally Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -12.30%E -4.39%K -6.83%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -1.10%E -0.766%K -2.51%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-14 01:39
Betsson🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.09%EV -13.87%E -5.04%K -7.92%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 66.91%EV -6.60%E -4.85%K -18.33%G +0.000%9.9%2026-10-14 02:05
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.20I 31.25%NM 31.18%1.45I 68.97%NM 68.82%0.2%2026-10-14 02:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.15I 31.75%NM 31.37%1.44I 69.44%NM 68.63%1.2%2026-10-14 01:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.15I 31.75%NM 31.37%1.44I 69.44%NM 68.63%1.2%2026-10-14 02:05