The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Sacramento Kings v Los Angeles Lakers

Kickoff: 2026-10-06 02:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

23 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Sacramento Kings (Local)

Prediction 33.87%2.95fair odd
EV +3.31%
Edge +1.09%
Kelly +1.62%
Growth +0.054%

assuming max odds 3.05

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.84%33.70%33.86%35.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.602.872.853.0538.46%34.90%35.09%32.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Los Angeles Lakers (Visit)

Prediction 66.13%1.51fair odd
EV -2.13%
Edge -1.44%
Kelly -4.44%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.48

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
64.92%66.30%66.14%69.16%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.361.421.401.4873.53%70.60%71.43%67.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Sacramento Kings (Local): 33.87%; Los Angeles Lakers (Visit): 66.13%. For Sacramento Kings (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.95. 9 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.05, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.31%.

Sportsbook Odds (23 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV +3.31%E +1.09%K +1.62%G +0.054%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -10.07%E -7.40%K -27.97%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-05 14:19
BetRivers🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV +1.62%E +0.540%K +0.810%G +0.013%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -7.42%E -5.30%K -18.56%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-05 12:40
Unibet (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV +1.62%E +0.540%K +0.810%G +0.013%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -7.42%E -5.30%K -18.56%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-05 12:40
Unibet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV +1.62%E +0.540%K +0.810%G +0.013%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -7.42%E -5.30%K -18.56%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-05 12:40
LiveScore Bet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV +1.62%E +0.540%K +0.810%G +0.013%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -7.42%E -5.30%K -18.56%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-05 12:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV +1.62%E +0.540%K +0.810%G +0.013%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -7.42%E -5.30%K -18.56%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-05 12:40
TABtouch🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV +1.62%E +0.540%K +0.810%G +0.013%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -7.42%E -5.30%K -18.56%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-05 12:40
Bally Bet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV +1.62%E +0.540%K +0.810%G +0.013%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -7.42%E -5.30%K -18.56%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-05 12:40
betPARX🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV +1.62%E +0.540%K +0.810%G +0.013%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -7.42%E -5.30%K -18.56%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-05 12:39
DraftKings🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -0.074%E -0.025%K -0.038%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -6.10%E -4.30%K -14.52%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-05 15:05
BetOnline.ag🎯2.89I 34.60%NM 33.26%EV -2.11%E -0.729%K -1.11%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.74%EV -4.78%E -3.32%K -10.86%G +0.000%4.0%2026-10-05 15:05
BetUS🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.72%EV -3.46%E -1.21%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 66.28%EV -4.12%E -2.84%K -9.15%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-05 13:55
Caesars🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -3.46%E -1.21%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.78%E -3.32%K -10.86%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-05 12:44
ReBet🎯2.81I 35.59%NM 33.57%EV -4.82%E -1.71%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.43%EV -6.10%E -4.30%K -14.52%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-05 14:25
MyBookie.ag🎯2.77I 36.10%NM 33.73%EV -6.17%E -2.23%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 66.27%EV -6.76%E -4.80%K -16.49%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-05 14:29
Bovada🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -6.85%E -2.49%K -3.91%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -2.13%E -1.44%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-05 13:35
Pinnacle🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.85%E -2.49%K -3.91%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.12%E -2.84%K -9.15%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-05 14:25
Betr (AU)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -6.85%E -2.49%K -3.91%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -6.10%E -4.30%K -14.52%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-05 14:25
Fliff🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -6.85%E -2.49%K -3.91%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 66.43%EV -8.08%E -5.82%K -20.73%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-05 15:10
FanDuel🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 35.08%EV -7.86%E -2.89%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.92%EV -2.79%E -1.90%K -5.94%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-05 13:20
SportsBet🎯2.71I 36.90%NM 34.86%EV -8.20%E -3.03%K -4.80%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.14%EV -4.12%E -2.84%K -9.15%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-05 14:05
theScore Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -8.54%E -3.16%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -7.42%E -5.30%K -18.56%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-05 13:55
Betsson🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.67%EV -11.93%E -4.59%K -7.46%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 65.33%EV -8.75%E -6.34%K -23.01%G +0.000%10.9%2026-10-05 14:35
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.94I 34.01%NM 33.48%1.48I 67.57%NM 66.52%1.6%2026-10-05 14:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.94I 34.01%NM 33.48%1.48I 67.57%NM 66.52%1.6%2026-10-05 15:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.94I 34.01%NM 33.33%1.47I 68.03%NM 66.67%2.0%2026-10-05 15:00