The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Phoenix Suns v Utah Jazz

Kickoff: 2026-10-17 02:10 UTC

Final: Phoenix Suns 116–119 Utah Jazz

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

24 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Phoenix Suns (Local)

Prediction 61.29%1.63fair odd
EV -2.55%
Edge -1.60%
Kelly -4.32%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.59

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
60.61%61.55%61.27%62.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.501.531.521.5966.67%65.34%65.79%62.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Utah Jazz (Visit)

Prediction 38.71%2.58fair odd
EV -0.126%
Edge -0.049%
Kelly -0.079%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.58

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.04%38.45%38.73%39.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.352.492.502.5842.55%40.11%40.00%38.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Phoenix Suns (Local): 61.29%; Utah Jazz (Visit): 38.71%. For Utah Jazz (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.583. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.580, with an expected value of -0.126%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (24 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetOnline.ag🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 61.03%EV -2.55%E -1.60%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.97%EV -3.61%E -1.45%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.1%2026-10-17 01:40
Bovada🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -3.78%E -2.41%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -3.22%E -1.29%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.7%2026-10-16 18:23
BetUS🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -3.78%E -2.41%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -3.22%E -1.29%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.7%2026-10-17 01:40
DraftKings🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.39%E -2.81%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.22%E -1.29%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-16 14:04
FanDuel🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.19%EV -4.39%E -2.81%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.81%EV -4.77%E -1.94%K -3.27%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-17 02:05
theScore Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.39%E -2.81%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -7.09%E -2.96%K -5.07%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-17 01:25
ReBet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.44%EV -5.00%E -3.23%K -9.09%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 38.56%EV -4.38%E -1.77%K -2.98%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-17 01:45
Pinnacle🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.35%EV -5.00%E -3.23%K -9.09%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.65%EV -4.77%E -1.94%K -3.27%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-17 02:05
Caesars🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.77%EV -6.23%E -4.07%K -11.75%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.23%EV -0.126%E -0.049%K -0.079%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-17 00:29
SportsBet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.23%E -4.07%K -11.75%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.16%E -2.11%K -3.56%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-17 01:59
LiveScore Bet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -6.84%E -4.50%K -13.16%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -1.29%E -0.505%K -0.830%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-16 19:45
Bet Right🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -6.84%E -4.50%K -13.16%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -5.16%E -2.11%K -3.56%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-16 20:05
MyBookie.ag🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.42%EV -6.84%E -4.50%K -13.16%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 38.58%EV -6.32%E -2.61%K -4.45%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-17 01:53
picklebet_au🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -6.84%E -4.50%K -13.16%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -7.09%E -2.96%K -5.07%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-17 01:59
BetRivers🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -7.45%E -4.94%K -14.61%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -1.29%E -0.505%K -0.830%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-16 19:45
Unibet (SE)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -7.45%E -4.94%K -14.61%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -1.29%E -0.505%K -0.830%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-16 19:45
TABtouch🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -7.45%E -4.94%K -14.61%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -1.29%E -0.505%K -0.830%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-16 19:45
Unibet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -7.45%E -4.94%K -14.61%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -1.29%E -0.505%K -0.830%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-16 19:44
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -7.45%E -4.94%K -14.61%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -1.29%E -0.505%K -0.830%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-16 19:45
betPARX🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -7.45%E -4.94%K -14.61%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -1.29%E -0.505%K -0.830%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-16 19:45
Bally Bet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -7.45%E -4.94%K -14.61%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -1.29%E -0.505%K -0.830%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-16 19:45
Betr (AU)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.87%EV -7.45%E -4.94%K -14.61%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -5.16%E -2.11%K -3.56%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-17 01:59
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -8.07%E -5.38%K -16.13%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -1.29%E -0.505%K -0.830%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-16 13:05
Betsson🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.04%EV -8.07%E -5.38%K -16.13%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -9.03%E -3.84%K -6.69%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-17 01:15
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%0.9%2026-10-17 02:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.66I 60.24%NM 59.71%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.29%0.9%2026-10-17 02:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.66I 60.24%NM 59.71%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.29%0.9%2026-10-17 02:05