The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Phoenix Suns v San Antonio Spurs

Kickoff: 2026-10-11 02:43 UTC

Final: Phoenix Suns 102–98 San Antonio Spurs

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

23 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Phoenix Suns (Local)

Prediction 29.79%3.36fair odd
EV -0.203%
Edge -0.060%
Kelly -0.086%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.35

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.27%29.74%29.89%33.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.853.233.253.3535.09%30.99%30.77%29.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

San Antonio Spurs (Visit)

Prediction 70.21%1.42fair odd
EV -0.302%
Edge -0.213%
Kelly -0.720%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.42

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
66.74%70.26%70.11%71.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.291.341.331.4277.52%74.63%75.19%70.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Phoenix Suns (Local): 29.79%; San Antonio Spurs (Visit): 70.21%. For Phoenix Suns (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.36. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.35, with an expected value of -0.203%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (23 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
DraftKings🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -0.203%E -0.060%K -0.086%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -5.92%E -4.42%K -17.41%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-11 02:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -0.203%E -0.060%K -0.086%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -6.62%E -4.98%K -20.06%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-11 02:40
TABtouch🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -0.203%E -0.060%K -0.086%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -6.62%E -4.98%K -20.06%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-11 02:40
Unibet🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -0.203%E -0.060%K -0.086%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -6.62%E -4.98%K -20.06%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-11 02:40
LiveScore Bet🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -0.203%E -0.060%K -0.086%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -6.62%E -4.98%K -20.06%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-11 02:40
Unibet (SE)🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -0.203%E -0.060%K -0.086%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -6.62%E -4.98%K -20.06%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-11 02:40
betPARX🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -0.203%E -0.060%K -0.086%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -6.62%E -4.98%K -20.06%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-11 02:40
Bally Bet🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -0.203%E -0.060%K -0.086%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -6.62%E -4.98%K -20.06%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-11 02:40
ReBet🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -0.203%E -0.060%K -0.086%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -7.32%E -5.55%K -22.88%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-11 02:40
Bovada🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -1.69%E -0.513%K -0.736%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -4.51%E -3.32%K -12.54%G +0.000%3.8%2026-10-11 02:15
theScore Bet🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -1.69%E -0.513%K -0.736%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -8.03%E -6.13%K -25.89%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-11 02:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -3.18%E -0.979%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.62%E -4.98%K -20.06%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-11 02:35
Caesars🎯3.22I 31.06%NM 29.69%EV -4.08%E -1.27%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.31%EV -4.51%E -3.32%K -12.54%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-11 00:54
MyBookie.ag🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -4.67%E -1.46%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -8.73%E -6.71%K -29.09%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-11 02:40
BetUS🎯3.18I 31.45%NM 30.26%EV -5.27%E -1.66%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.74%EV -3.11%E -2.25%K -8.19%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-11 01:40
BetOnline.ag🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -6.16%E -1.96%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -3.11%E -2.25%K -8.19%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-11 01:45
Fliff🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.05%EV -6.16%E -1.96%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 70.95%EV -9.43%E -7.31%K -32.52%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-11 02:35
SportsBet🎯3.12I 32.05%NM 30.20%EV -7.05%E -2.26%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.80%EV -5.22%E -3.86%K -14.91%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-11 02:40
FanDuel🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -7.65%E -2.47%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.11%E -2.25%K -8.19%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-11 02:40
Pinnacle🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -7.65%E -2.47%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -5.22%E -3.86%K -14.91%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-11 02:10
Bet Right🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -7.65%E -2.47%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -5.92%E -4.42%K -17.41%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-11 01:50
Betsson🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 29.89%EV -9.14%E -3.00%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 70.11%EV -8.73%E -6.71%K -29.09%G +0.000%9.7%2026-10-11 02:35
Betr (AU)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -15.10%E -5.30%K -8.16%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -0.302%E -0.213%K -0.720%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-11 02:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.30I 30.30%NM 30.23%1.43I 69.93%NM 69.77%0.2%2026-10-11 02:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.25I 30.77%NM 30.56%1.43I 69.93%NM 69.44%0.7%2026-10-11 02:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62%1.41I 70.92%NM 70.38%0.8%2026-10-11 02:35