The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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New York Knicks v Toronto Raptors

Kickoff: 2026-10-15 23:42 UTC

Final: New York Knicks 122–120 Toronto Raptors

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

23 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

New York Knicks (Local)

Prediction 60.04%1.67fair odd
EV -0.928%
Edge -0.562%
Kelly -1.43%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.65

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
57.69%60.24%59.70%63.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.511.601.591.6566.23%62.62%62.89%60.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Toronto Raptors (Visit)

Prediction 39.96%2.50fair odd
EV +3.89%
Edge +1.49%
Kelly +2.43%
Growth +0.094%

assuming max odds 2.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.74%39.76%40.30%42.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.252.342.302.6044.44%42.80%43.48%38.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: New York Knicks (Local): 60.04%; Toronto Raptors (Visit): 39.96%. For Toronto Raptors (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.50. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.60, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.89%.

Sportsbook Odds (23 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
BetRivers🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -9.33%E -6.18%K -18.30%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV +3.89%E +1.49%K +2.43%G +0.094%4.7%2026-10-15 23:15
FanDuel🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.00%EV -6.33%E -4.06%K -11.31%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.00%EV -2.51%E -1.03%K -1.74%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-15 23:34
SportsBet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.21%EV -7.53%E -4.89%K -13.95%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.79%EV -2.91%E -1.20%K -2.03%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-15 23:35
DraftKings🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.35%EV -4.53%E -2.85%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.65%EV -3.31%E -1.37%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-15 22:54
BetOnline.ag🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -2.73%E -1.68%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -4.11%E -1.71%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.4%2026-10-15 23:05
Bovada🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -3.33%E -2.07%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -4.11%E -1.71%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.8%2026-10-15 23:10
ReBet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.13%E -3.25%K -8.85%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.11%E -1.71%K -2.93%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-15 23:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.93%E -4.47%K -12.60%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -4.11%E -1.71%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-15 23:00
BetUS🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -2.73%E -1.68%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -4.90%E -2.06%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.7%2026-10-15 23:14
theScore Bet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -4.53%E -2.85%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -6.10%E -2.60%K -4.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-15 23:10
Bet Right🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.79%EV -6.33%E -4.06%K -11.31%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.21%EV -7.30%E -3.15%K -5.53%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-15 23:24
Caesars🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -0.928%E -0.562%K -1.43%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -8.10%E -3.52%K -6.23%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-15 23:33
Betr (AU)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -5.73%E -3.65%K -10.05%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -8.10%E -3.52%K -6.23%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-15 23:29
picklebet_au🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -6.93%E -4.47%K -12.60%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -8.10%E -3.52%K -6.23%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-15 23:30
MyBookie.ag🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -6.93%E -4.47%K -12.60%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -8.10%E -3.52%K -6.23%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-15 23:33
TABtouch🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -0.928%E -0.562%K -1.43%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -10.10%E -4.49%K -8.08%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-15 23:25
Unibet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -0.928%E -0.562%K -1.43%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -10.10%E -4.49%K -8.08%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-15 23:25
Unibet (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -0.928%E -0.562%K -1.43%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -10.10%E -4.49%K -8.08%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-15 23:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -0.928%E -0.562%K -1.43%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -10.10%E -4.49%K -8.08%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-15 23:25
LiveScore Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -0.928%E -0.562%K -1.43%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -10.10%E -4.49%K -8.08%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-15 23:25
betPARX🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -0.928%E -0.562%K -1.43%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -10.10%E -4.49%K -8.08%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-15 23:25
Bally Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -0.928%E -0.562%K -1.43%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -10.10%E -4.49%K -8.08%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-15 23:25
Betsson🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.52%EV -8.13%E -5.32%K -15.35%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.48%EV -10.10%E -4.49%K -8.08%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-15 23:20
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%5.0%2026-10-15 23:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%5.0%2026-10-15 23:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%5.7%2026-10-15 23:35